{"id":2117,"date":"2017-03-02T09:57:34","date_gmt":"2017-03-02T09:57:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/?p=2117"},"modified":"2017-12-19T14:31:36","modified_gmt":"2017-12-19T14:31:36","slug":"us-stock-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/de\/market-news-analysis\/us-stock-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Die steigenden US-Aktienm\u00e4rkte \u2013 ist die Rally nachhaltig?"},"content":{"rendered":"<br \/>\n<style>\n.wp-caption {\nmax-width: 100% !important;\n}\n iframe {\nmax-width: 100%; hight: auto;\n}\n<\/style>\n<p>Dow hat heute zum ersten Mal die Marke von 21000 \u00fcberschritten, S&amp;P und Nasdaq erreichten nach der Rede von Trump Intraday-Rekordhochs. Insgesamt sind die US-Aktienm\u00e4rkte nach den Wahlen um mehr als 101 TP4T gestiegen, was haupts\u00e4chlich auf die Erwartung \u201eph\u00e4nomenaler\u201c Steuerreformen, fiskalischer Ankurbelung und finanzieller Deregulierung zur\u00fcckzuf\u00fchren ist.<\/p>\n<p>Aber ist diese Rallye nachhaltig? Bedenken Sie:<br \/>\n1) Das S&amp;P500 Shiller PE (zyklisch angepasstes PE-Verh\u00e4ltnis \u2013 CAPE) liegt derzeit bei 29,52, etwa 77% h\u00f6her als der historische Mittelwert von 16,7. Dieses Niveau wurde zuvor nur wenige Male \u00fcberschritten \u2013 einschlie\u00dflich der Immobilienblase von 2008, der Dotcom-Manie von 1999 und der Weltwirtschaftskrise von 1929, was darauf hindeutet, dass der aktuelle Markt stark \u00fcberbewertet ist<br \/>\n2) Dies \u00fcbt einen immensen Druck auf die Gewinne aus, diese hohen Bewertungen zu erreichen. Einverstanden, es wird erwartet, dass die Einnahmen durch niedrigere Steuern aus den Steuerreformen von Trump einen Schub erhalten, aber politische Einzelheiten bleiben schwer fassbar und die Umsetzung k\u00f6nnte vom Kongress Gegenwind bekommen. Dar\u00fcber hinaus wird erwartet, dass die Arbeitskosten steigen werden, da die Wirtschaft auf Vollbesch\u00e4ftigung steht. Hohe Arbeitskosten in Verbindung mit einem steigenden Dollar k\u00f6nnten den steuergest\u00fctzten Anstieg der Unternehmensgewinne beeintr\u00e4chtigen.<br \/>\n3) Auch hier setzen die M\u00e4rkte auf steigende Unternehmensgewinne durch Steuersenkungen. Solche Regierung. unterst\u00fctzte Gewinne spiegeln nicht unbedingt Innovation und Effizienz wider und tragen langfristig nicht zur Wertsch\u00f6pfung bei.<br \/>\nWird es eine holprige Fahrt vor sich haben?<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_2118\" style=\"width: 879px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Us-markets_dow.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2118\" style=\"max-width: 100%; height: auto;\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2118\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Us-markets_dow.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"869\" height=\"396\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Us-markets_dow.png 869w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Us-markets_dow-300x137.png 300w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Us-markets_dow-768x350.png 768w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Us-markets_dow-600x273.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 869px) 100vw, 869px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-2118\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bildquelle: www.multpl.com<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"border-radius: 2px; text-indent: 20px; width: auto; padding: 0px 4px 0px 0px; text-align: center; font: bold 11px\/20px 'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,sans-serif; color: #ffffff; background: #bd081c  no-repeat scroll 3px 50% \/ 14px 14px; position: absolute; opacity: 1; z-index: 8675309; display: none; cursor: pointer;\">\u0421\u043e\u0445\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0442\u044c<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dow hat heute zum ersten Mal die Marke von 21000 \u00fcberschritten, S&amp;P und Nasdaq erreichten nach der Rede von Trump Intraday-Rekordhochs. Insgesamt sind die US-Aktienm\u00e4rkte nach den Wahlen um mehr als 101 TP4T gestiegen, was haupts\u00e4chlich auf die Erwartung \u201eph\u00e4nomenaler\u201c Steuern zur\u00fcckzuf\u00fchren ist \u2026 <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/de\/market-news-analysis\/us-stock-market\/\">Weiterlesen \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2119,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[210],"tags":[125,164],"class_list":["post-2117","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-news-analysis","tag-market","tag-stock-market-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Soaring U.S. Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The US stock market s are up more than 10% post elections driven mainly by anticipation of &quot;phenomenal&quot; 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