{"id":2457,"date":"2017-05-26T13:40:23","date_gmt":"2017-05-26T13:40:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/?p=2457"},"modified":"2017-12-19T14:24:30","modified_gmt":"2017-12-19T14:24:30","slug":"opec-deal-extension","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/de\/market-news-analysis\/opec-deal-extension\/","title":{"rendered":"Wird die Vertragsverl\u00e4ngerung der OPEC dazu beitragen, die \u00d6lpreise langfristig anzuheben?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Am Donnerstag verl\u00e4ngerten die OPEC und andere Nichtmitglieder die im November vereinbarte Produktionsk\u00fcrzung um 9 Monate. Wenn die Ank\u00fcndigung der K\u00fcrzung des Deals dem Marktkonsens entsprach, warum fiel der \u00d6lpreis dann um ~5% nach den Nachrichten?<\/p>\n

Der R\u00fcckgang k\u00f6nnte ein vor\u00fcbergehender Fehler sein<\/strong>
\nDie \u00d6lpreise waren vor dem Treffen \u00fcber die Hoffnungen auf eine Vertragsverl\u00e4ngerung nach oben gegangen, und die Nachrichten waren gr\u00f6\u00dftenteils eingepreist. Als die Ank\u00fcndigung wie erwartet eintraf, fielen die Preise, als die H\u00e4ndler Gewinne verbuchten. Au\u00dferdem hofften die M\u00e4rkte auf tiefere K\u00fcrzungen, um das \u00dcberangebot anzugehen. Die Entt\u00e4uschung der H\u00e4ndler \u00fcber die Verl\u00e4ngerung des Deals tr\u00e4gt ebenfalls zum R\u00fcckgang bei.<\/p>\n

Kurzfristiger Ausblick positiv<\/strong>
\nDer IEA-Bericht dieses Monats deutete jedoch Optimismus in seinem Ausblick auf die Neuausrichtung der \u00d6lm\u00e4rkte an, falls die Vereinbarung verl\u00e4ngert werden sollte. Dar\u00fcber hinaus k\u00f6nnte ein saisonaler Anstieg der \u00d6lnachfrage in den Sommern auch ein Katalysator f\u00fcr kurzfristig steigende \u00d6lpreise sein.<\/p>\n

Versorgungssorgen bleiben langfristig bestehen<\/strong>
\nDer Aufstieg des US-Schiefer\u00f6ls hat die \u00d6ldynamik in den letzten Jahren erheblich ver\u00e4ndert und den Einfluss der OPEC auf die Steuerung der globalen \u00d6lpreise in gewissem Ma\u00dfe verringert. W\u00e4hrend die K\u00fcrzungen dazu beitragen k\u00f6nnten, den Markt kurzfristig wieder ins Gleichgewicht zu bringen, ist nicht klar, was mit den Preisen passiert, wenn der Deal im M\u00e4rz n\u00e4chsten Jahres endet und das Angebot erh\u00f6ht wird.<\/p>\n

Lesen Sie mehr \u00fcber \u00d6l hier<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u0421\u043e\u0445\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0442\u044c<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Am Donnerstag verl\u00e4ngerten die OPEC und andere Nichtmitglieder die im November vereinbarte Produktionsk\u00fcrzung um 9 Monate. Wenn die Ank\u00fcndigung der K\u00fcrzung des Deals dem Marktkonsens entsprach, warum fiel der \u00d6lpreis dann um ~5% nach den Nachrichten? Der Tropfen k\u00f6nnte ein \u2026 Weiterlesen \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2459,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[210],"tags":[215,164],"class_list":["post-2457","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-news-analysis","tag-oil","tag-stock-market-news"],"yoast_head":"\nWill OPEC's deal extension help lift oil prices in long term? - CityFALCON Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"On Thursday, oil dropped ~5% despite the 9-month deal extension by OPEC and other non-members. 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