{"id":2727,"date":"2017-06-14T08:37:40","date_gmt":"2017-06-14T08:37:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/?p=2727"},"modified":"2017-10-05T09:39:08","modified_gmt":"2017-10-05T09:39:08","slug":"fang-tech-stocks-really-expensive-current-levels-one-ratio-tells-story","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/de\/investments\/fang-tech-stocks-really-expensive-current-levels-one-ratio-tells-story\/","title":{"rendered":"Sind FANG- und Tech-Aktien auf dem aktuellen Niveau wirklich teuer? Ein Verh\u00e4ltnis erz\u00e4hlt die Geschichte"},"content":{"rendered":"<style>\n.wp-caption {\nmax-width: 100% !important;\n}\n iframe {\nmax-width: 100%; hight: auto;\n}\n<\/style>\n<p><b>Zusammenfassung:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>FANG-Aktien (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google\/Alphabet) haben sich in den letzten 4-5 Jahren einige Male erholt. Dies scheint auch bei anderen Technologieaktien der Fall zu sein.<\/li>\n<li>Der Anstieg der Technologieaktien ist nicht nur auf die allgemeine Rally an den M\u00e4rkten zur\u00fcckzuf\u00fchren, sondern wird auch durch das schnelle Innovationstempo und die Produkteinf\u00fchrungen dieser Unternehmen unterst\u00fctzt.<\/li>\n<li>Betrachtet man jedoch die PEG-Kennzahlen, scheinen die meisten dieser Aktien \u00fcberbewertet. Wie Warren Buffet sagt, bleiben Sie \u00e4ngstlich, wenn die M\u00e4rkte gierig sind.<\/li>\n<li>Sie k\u00f6nnen Echtzeit- und personalisierte Nachrichten f\u00fcr diese Unternehmen auf CityFALCON verfolgen <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/watchlists?assets=Facebook,Amazon,Netflix,Google,Apple,Microsoft,Salesforce,NVIDIA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">hier<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Wie Sie in der folgenden Grafik sehen k\u00f6nnen, haben die FANG-Aktien in den letzten Jahren eine starke Rally erlebt.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_2728\" style=\"width: 1036px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_103753.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2728\" style=\"max-width: 100%; height: auto;\" class=\"wp-image-2728 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_103753.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1026\" height=\"421\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_103753.png 1026w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_103753-300x123.png 300w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_103753-768x315.png 768w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_103753-1024x420.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_103753-945x388.png 945w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_103753-600x246.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1026px) 100vw, 1026px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-2728\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Quelle: Google Finanzen<\/p><\/div>\n<p><b>Das PEG-Verh\u00e4ltnis<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Eine der Kennzahlen, die ich zur Analyse von Wachstumsunternehmen verwende, ist die PEG-Ratio. Ich hatte in meinem Artikel aus dem Jahr 2014 gezeigt, dass die beste Zeit, um in Apple und Microsoft zu investieren, war, wenn sie mit sehr hohen KGVs gehandelt wurden; siehe den vollst\u00e4ndigen Artikel <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2237633-cheap-and-expensive-tech-stocks-based-on-up-to-20-years-performance-of-apple-microsoft\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">hier<\/a>. Zum Beispiel macht es mir nichts aus, f\u00fcr ein Unternehmen mit einem KGV von 100 zu zahlen, solange ich glaube, dass es in den n\u00e4chsten 2-3 Jahren um mehr als 1001 TP4T wachsen kann. Das bedeutet, dass der PEG unter 1 liegen muss.<\/p>\n<p>Unten ist meine schnelle Berechnung der PEG-Verh\u00e4ltnisse von FANG und anderen Technologieunternehmen. Ich habe die Spalte \u201eWachstumsrate\u201c hinzugef\u00fcgt, aber sie bezieht sich nur auf die Jahre 2017 bis 2018. Sie m\u00fcssen selbst entscheiden, ob diese Wachstumsraten hoch oder niedrig sind, abh\u00e4ngig von den Fundamentaldaten des Unternehmens in den n\u00e4chsten 2\u20133 Jahren. Da einige dieser Unternehmen hohe Netto-Cash-Guthaben haben, habe ich den Preis f\u00fcr das Cash pro Aktie in den B\u00fcchern angepasst.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_2729\" style=\"width: 1040px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_104039.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2729\" style=\"max-width: 100%; height: auto;\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2729\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_104039.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1030\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_104039.png 1030w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_104039-300x131.png 300w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_104039-768x336.png 768w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_104039-1024x447.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_104039-945x413.png 945w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/2017-06-14_104039-600x262.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1030px) 100vw, 1030px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-2729\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Quelle: Yahoo Finance (Konsenssch\u00e4tzungen) und eigene Berechnungen<\/p><\/div>\n<p>W\u00e4hrend Apple mit einem PEG-Verh\u00e4ltnis von 0,7 am billigsten zu sein scheint, ist die zugrunde liegende Annahme eines 18%-Wachstums m\u00f6glicherweise nicht nachhaltig. Gleichzeitig kann NVIDIA die in der obigen Tabelle erw\u00e4hnte 13%-Wachstumsrate \u00fcbertreffen. Google und Facebook scheinen g\u00fcnstiger zu sein als andere Unternehmen. Amazon, Microsoft, Salesforce und Netflix sind gro\u00dfartige Unternehmen, aber die PEG-Verh\u00e4ltnisse von c. 2 ordnete sie f\u00fcr mich in die deutlich \u00fcberbewertete Kategorie ein.<\/p>\n<p>Ich sehe nur begrenzten Wert in Wachstumsaktien, die mit einem deutlich h\u00f6heren PEG-Verh\u00e4ltnis als 1 gehandelt werden, und ich bleibe vorerst drau\u00dfen, denn wie Warren Buffet sagt, bleiben Sie \u00e4ngstlich, wenn die M\u00e4rkte gierig sind.<\/p>\n<p>Sie k\u00f6nnen Echtzeit- und personalisierte Nachrichten f\u00fcr diese Unternehmen auf CityFALCON verfolgen <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/watchlists?assets=Facebook,Amazon,Netflix,Google,Apple,Microsoft,Salesforce,NVIDIA\">hier<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zusammenfassung: FANG-Aktien (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google\/Alphabet) haben sich in den letzten 4-5 Jahren einige Male erholt. Dies scheint auch bei anderen Technologieaktien der Fall zu sein. Der Anstieg der Tech-Aktien ist nicht nur darauf zur\u00fcckzuf\u00fchren, dass\u2026 <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/de\/investments\/fang-tech-stocks-really-expensive-current-levels-one-ratio-tells-story\/\">Weiterlesen \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2738,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[236,34,237,35,238,200],"class_list":["post-2727","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investments","tag-amazon","tag-apple","tag-google","tag-microsoft","tag-netflix","tag-nvidia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Are FANG and Tech Stocks Really Expensive at the Current Levels? One Ratio Tells the story<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/fr\/investments\/fang-tech-stocks-really-expensive-current-levels-one-ratio-tells-story\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"de_DE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Are FANG and Tech Stocks Really Expensive at the Current Levels? One Ratio Tells the story\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Summary: FANG Stocks (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google\/Alphabet) have rallied a few times over the last 4-5 years. This seems to be the case with other tech stocks as well. The rise in the tech stocks has not only been because... Weiterlesen &rarr;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/fr\/investments\/fang-tech-stocks-really-expensive-current-levels-one-ratio-tells-story\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CityFALCON Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/cityfalconfollow\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2017-06-14T08:37:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2017-10-05T09:39:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/25219116374_16dce16363_k.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Ruzbeh Bacha\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cityfalcon\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cityfalcon\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Verfasst von\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Ruzbeh Bacha\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Gesch\u00e4tzte Lesezeit\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2\u00a0Minuten\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":[\"Article\",\"BlogPosting\"],\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/fr\/investments\/fang-tech-stocks-really-expensive-current-levels-one-ratio-tells-story\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/fr\/investments\/fang-tech-stocks-really-expensive-current-levels-one-ratio-tells-story\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Ruzbeh Bacha\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/adaf6e70ee43cd981606acd8ec46cecd\"},\"headline\":\"Are FANG and Tech Stocks Really Expensive at the Current Levels? 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