{"id":931,"date":"2016-06-21T12:03:49","date_gmt":"2016-06-21T12:03:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cityfalcon.com\/blog\/?p=931"},"modified":"2017-10-05T11:35:23","modified_gmt":"2017-10-05T11:35:23","slug":"twitter-an-undervalued-growth-play","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/de\/investments\/twitter-an-undervalued-growth-play\/","title":{"rendered":"Twitter: Ein unterbewertetes Wachstumsspiel?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Twitter sieht aus wie ein unterbewertetes Wachstumsspiel, insbesondere nach der \u00dcbernahme von LinkedIn durch Microsoft.<\/b><\/em><\/p>\n

Zusammenfassung<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u2013 Twitter wird derzeit bei $16,34 gehandelt, ein Minus von 26% nach meinem Empfehlung<\/a> im Jan. 2016. Meine Grundthese vom Jan. 2016 bleibt jedoch bestehen.<\/p>\n

\u2013 W\u00e4hrend das Nutzerwachstum stagnierte, was zu einem R\u00fcckgang der Aktie f\u00fchrte, steigert das Unternehmen weiterhin den Umsatz um 351 TP4T im Jahresvergleich und das EBITDA um 731 TP4T (Quelle: Q1-Ergebnisse). Das Unternehmen erwirtschaftete im Jahr 2015 auch einen Netto-Cash aus der Gesch\u00e4ftst\u00e4tigkeit von etwa $400m.<\/p>\n

\u2013 Die Aktie hat derzeit einen Unternehmenswert von $9,5 Mrd. und mit einem f\u00fcr 2017 prognostizierten EV\/Umsatz-Verh\u00e4ltnis von weniger als dem Dreifachen erscheint sie aus Wertperspektive attraktiv.<\/p>\n

\u2013 Das Unternehmen wird zu einer viel niedrigeren Bewertung gehandelt als mehrere Privatunternehmen, die noch nicht einmal signifikante Einnahmen und Nettoliquidit\u00e4t aus dem operativen Gesch\u00e4ft nachweisen m\u00fcssen \u2013 Uber (1 TP5T68 Mrd.), Airbnb ($25 Mrd.), SnapChat ($22 Mrd.), WeWork ($16 Mrd.), Dropbox ( $10 Mrd.).<\/p>\n

\u2013 Microsoft zahlte k\u00fcrzlich $26bn f\u00fcr LinkedIn, ein Aufschlag von 49% auf den Aktienkurs von LinkedIn. Goldman Sachs hat eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 15% f\u00fcr die strategische \u00dcbernahme von Twitter vorhergesagt. Die Twitter-Aktie hat nach der \u00dcbernahme von LinkedIn bereits um mehr als 151 TP4T zugelegt.<\/p>\n

\u2013 Ich habe einige Bedenken \u2013 ein Teilzeit-CEO, schlechte Kuratierung von Tweets und Automatisierung auf der Website.<\/p>\n

\u2013 Auf unserer FinTech-Plattform k\u00f6nnen Sie Echtzeit- und relevante Finanznachrichten und Tweets f\u00fcr Twitter verfolgen CityFALCON<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Offenlegung<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ich bin Long Twitter und habe \u00fcber mein FinTech-Startup eine Gesch\u00e4ftsbeziehung mit Twitter\u00a0CityFALCON<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Einschr\u00e4nkung der Analyse<\/strong><\/p>\n

Daten wurden aus verschiedenen Quellen gesammelt, die m\u00f6glicherweise unterschiedliche Definitionen von Finanzkennzahlen haben, und daher sollte diese Analyse als indikativ betrachtet werden, und Anleger sollten ihre eigene Due Diligence durchf\u00fchren, bevor sie Anlageentscheidungen treffen.<\/p>\n

Twitter ist seit seinem Hoch von $69,00 im Januar 2014 um 77% gefallen<\/b><\/p>\n

Der Gro\u00dfteil dieses R\u00fcckgangs ist auf \u00c4nderungen der Marktstimmung aufgrund eines stagnierenden Nutzerwachstums und einer allgemeinen Marktabwertung infolge des verlangsamten chinesischen Wachstums und anderer globaler makro\u00f6konomischer Faktoren zur\u00fcckzuf\u00fchren. Der Gesamtmarkt hat sich von dieser Volatilit\u00e4t erholt, aber die Aktie hat M\u00fche, sich im Einklang mit dem Markt zu erholen.<\/p>\n

\"zwitschern<\/p>\n

Das Wachstum der monatlich aktiven Nutzer stagniert\u2026<\/b><\/p>\n

\"zwitschern<\/p>\n

\u2026das Unternehmen w\u00e4chst jedoch weiterhin bei Umsatz und EBITDA<\/b><\/p>\n

\"zwitschern<\/p>\n

Twitter bleibt im Vergleich zu Facebook und Linkedin relativ g\u00fcnstig<\/b><\/p>\n

\"zwitschern<\/p>\n

Zusammenfassend l\u00e4sst sich sagen, dass mit einem EV von $9,5 Mrd. die meisten inh\u00e4renten Risiken bereits im Preis ber\u00fccksichtigt wurden und das Abw\u00e4rtspotenzial begrenzt bleibt. Solange meine Grundthese Bestand hat, werde ich den Bestand an R\u00fcckg\u00e4ngen weiter aufstocken.<\/b><\/p>\n

Dieser Artikel wurde urspr\u00fcnglich unter ver\u00f6ffentlicht <\/em>masterinvestor.co.uk<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Twitter sieht aus wie ein unterbewertetes Wachstumsspiel, insbesondere nach der \u00dcbernahme von LinkedIn durch Microsoft. Zusammenfassung \u2013 Twitter wird derzeit bei $16,34 gehandelt, ein R\u00fcckgang um 26%\u2026<\/p>\n

Lesen Sie weiter \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":671,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[30,26],"class_list":["post-931","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investments","tag-investing","tag-twitter"],"yoast_head":"\nTwitter: An Undervalued Growth Play?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Twitter looks like an undervalued growth play, especially after Microsoft\u2019s acquisition of LinkedIn.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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