{"id":3068,"date":"2017-07-06T15:48:27","date_gmt":"2017-07-06T15:48:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/?p=3068"},"modified":"2017-12-19T14:21:45","modified_gmt":"2017-12-19T14:21:45","slug":"illinois-credit-downgrade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/es\/market-news-analysis\/illinois-credit-downgrade\/","title":{"rendered":"Baja de calificaci\u00f3n crediticia de Illinois: colgando del equilibrio presupuestario"},"content":{"rendered":"

Moody's advirti\u00f3 ayer sobre una rebaja de la calificaci\u00f3n crediticia a basura para el estado estadounidense de Illinois.<\/p>\n

El fondo<\/strong><\/p>\n

El estado no ha tenido un presupuesto anual completo durante los \u00faltimos 2 a\u00f1os debido al desacuerdo sobre el plan de gastos \/ ingresos entre su gobernador republicano Bruce Rauner y la legislatura controlada por los dem\u00f3cratas. Las pol\u00edticas favorables a las empresas de Rauner de recortes de impuestos y recortes de costos en los planes de compensaci\u00f3n para trabajadores no encajaron bien con los dem\u00f3cratas que sent\u00edan que las pol\u00edticas da\u00f1ar\u00edan a la clase media. Despu\u00e9s de dos a\u00f1os de estancamiento, ahora se espera que Illinois tenga un presupuesto. Moody's hab\u00eda advertido anteriormente al estado que aprobara un presupuesto o enfrentara una rebaja de calificaci\u00f3n. Sin embargo, parece que el estado podr\u00eda enfrentar una rebaja a pesar del presupuesto, ya que la agencia de calificaci\u00f3n cuestiona la falta de una soluci\u00f3n a largo plazo para arreglar el desastre financiero del estado.<\/p>\n

Es improbable un \u00e9xodo masivo<\/strong><\/p>\n

Si bien una ca\u00edda al estatus de basura podr\u00eda desencadenar una venta masiva de los bonos que provoque una ca\u00edda de los precios de los bonos, es poco probable un \u00e9xodo masivo de inversores. Se prev\u00e9 que es poco probable que los mayores tenedores de bonos del estado salgan de inmediato y eviten el estr\u00e9s al vender sus participaciones.<\/p>\n

Pero el costo para la econom\u00eda estatal ser\u00eda enorme<\/strong><\/p>\n

Una calificaci\u00f3n basura aumentar\u00eda significativamente los costos de pr\u00e9stamos para el estado. Afectar\u00eda la capacidad del gobierno para continuar con el gasto p\u00fablico, como la ayuda federal para universidades, ayudas m\u00e9dicas y de pensiones. El aumento de impuestos para generar ingresos estatales da\u00f1ar\u00eda los ingresos individuales y comerciales. Las inversiones en el estado eventualmente sufrir\u00edan a medida que las personas y las empresas se muden fuera del estado en busca de mejores perspectivas.<\/p>\n

Siga las noticias de Moody's aqu\u00ed<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Moody's advirti\u00f3 ayer sobre una rebaja de la calificaci\u00f3n crediticia a basura para el estado estadounidense de Illinois. Los antecedentes El estado no ha tenido un presupuesto anual completo durante los \u00faltimos 2 a\u00f1os debido al desacuerdo sobre el plan de gastos \/ ingresos entre sus republicanos ... Seguir leyendo \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3070,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[210],"tags":[164],"class_list":["post-3068","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-news-analysis","tag-stock-market-news"],"yoast_head":"\nIllinois credit downgrade - hanging in the budget balance - CityFALCON Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Moody's warned of credit downgrade to junk for the US state of Illinois.While a mass exodus of investors is unlikely, cost to state economy would be huge\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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