{"id":1944,"date":"2017-03-06T09:36:46","date_gmt":"2017-03-06T09:36:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cityfalcon.com\/blog\/?p=1944"},"modified":"2017-10-05T10:32:10","modified_gmt":"2017-10-05T10:32:10","slug":"snapchat-ipo-price-trend","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/fr\/investments\/snapchat-ipo-price-trend\/","title":{"rendered":"Tendance des prix d&#039;IPO de SnapChat. Suivra-t-il Google, Facebook ou Groupon?"},"content":{"rendered":"<br \/>\n<style>\n.wp-caption {\nmax-width: 100% !important;\n}\n iframe {\nmax-width: 100%; hight: auto;\n}\n<\/style>\n<h3><b>R\u00e9sum\u00e9 de la tendance des prix de l&#039;introduction en bourse de SnapChat \u00e0 ce jour:<\/b><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Apr\u00e8s leur introduction en bourse, les entreprises technologiques passent par 4 phases: l&#039;euphorie, le pessimisme, l&#039;optimisme et le r\u00e9alisme.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Snap Inc est \u00e9videmment au stade Euphoria.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Les donn\u00e9es sur les prix de 7 introductions en bourse de grandes technologies montrent que la plupart des entreprises restent en dessous de leur prix de cotation dans les 180 premiers jours suivant l&#039;introduction en bourse. La seule exception des entreprises analys\u00e9es est Google.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Deux facteurs cl\u00e9s \u00e0 garder \u00e0 l&#039;esprit - la p\u00e9riode de blocage de l&#039;introduction en bourse qui est jusqu&#039;\u00e0 un an, et la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 devrait annoncer ses r\u00e9sultats trimestriels le 20 avril 2017. L&#039;action pourrait \u00eatre tr\u00e8s volatile autour de ces dates.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Au prix de $27, l&#039;action se n\u00e9gocie \u00e0 une capitalisation boursi\u00e8re de $35bn. La soci\u00e9t\u00e9 a g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9 $404m de revenus en 2016, contre $59m en 2015. Ils ont d\u00e9pens\u00e9 $924m r\u00e9sultant en une perte nette de $514m en 2016. Les analystes et les investisseurs qui recommandent ou ach\u00e8tent l&#039;action \u00e0 ce prix esp\u00e8rent que la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 continuera \u00e0 cro\u00eetre de mani\u00e8re agressive m\u00eame face \u00e0 la concurrence de Facebook, Instagram et autres.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Je chercherai \u00e0 acheter des options de vente sur Snap Inc au fur et \u00e0 mesure que le trading de d\u00e9riv\u00e9s commencera.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Vous pouvez garder une trace de toutes les nouvelles et tweets pertinents sur Snap Inc sur notre plate-forme prim\u00e9e CityFALCON <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/watchlists?assets=SnapChat\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ici<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">En 2014, j&#039;ai fait une analyse similaire sur Twitter; voir l&#039;article complet <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/2229583-will-twitter-follow-the-post-ipo-price-trend-of-linkedin-or-of-zynga\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ici<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Il s&#039;est av\u00e9r\u00e9 que Twitter a fini par suivre la voie de Groupon et Zynga, ce qui n&#039;a pas \u00e9t\u00e9 id\u00e9al pour les investisseurs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ma th\u00e8se originale de 2014 semble toujours valable. Les introductions en bourse technologiques ont montr\u00e9 certaines similitudes dans leur mouvement de prix apr\u00e8s la cotation. Ils semblent tous avoir travers\u00e9 4 phases: <\/span><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00abEuphorie\u00bb initiale avec tout le monde essayant de mettre la main sur les actions, et avec des analystes \u00e9tablissant des attentes irr\u00e9alistes et justifiant des valorisations \u00e9lev\u00e9es; <\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Un \u00e9tat de \u00abpessimisme\u00bb apr\u00e8s que les entreprises n&#039;ont pas r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 r\u00e9pondre aux premi\u00e8res attentes irr\u00e9alistes et une r\u00e9duction de l&#039;exposition des fonds et des institutions; <\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">`` Reprise et optimisme &#039;&#039; une fois que l&#039;entreprise commence \u00e0 d\u00e9passer les faibles attentes, et <\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Le \u00abr\u00e9alisme\u00bb s&#039;installe et le titre essaie de trouver sa valeur fondamentale.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pour les 7 entreprises que nous avons analys\u00e9es, le graphique \u00e0 plus long terme montre comment Facebook a \u00e9t\u00e9 le vrai gagnant m\u00eame apr\u00e8s un mauvais d\u00e9part la premi\u00e8re ann\u00e9e apr\u00e8s l&#039;introduction en bourse. Groupon, Twitter et Zynga ont eu du mal \u00e0 se rapprocher du prix d&#039;inscription apr\u00e8s la p\u00e9riode d&#039;euphorie initiale. Alibaba et Square sont au-dessus de leur prix d&#039;inscription, mais ce sont relativement t\u00f4t.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pour faciliter la comparaison, dans les graphiques ci-dessous, le cours de cl\u00f4ture du jour 1 (et NON le prix d&#039;introduction en bourse) est index\u00e9 \u00e0 100.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Plusieurs autres facteurs pourraient avoir influ\u00e9 sur les tendances des prix et le cours de cl\u00f4ture du premier jour, notamment la disponibilit\u00e9 d&#039;actions technologiques de qualit\u00e9 lors de l&#039;introduction en bourse, la situation g\u00e9opolitique et l&#039;activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique. Cependant, nous les ignorons aux fins de cette analyse.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1950\" style=\"width: 1784px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat1.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1950\" style=\"max-width: 100%; height: auto;\" class=\"wp-image-1950 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat1.png\" alt=\"SnapChat IPO Price Trend Days of IPO\" width=\"1774\" height=\"852\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat1.png 1774w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat1-300x144.png 300w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat1-768x369.png 768w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat1-1024x492.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat1-945x454.png 945w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat1-600x288.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1774px) 100vw, 1774px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1950\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Yahoo Finance, propre analyse<\/p><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Si nous regardons le graphique pour la premi\u00e8re ann\u00e9e apr\u00e8s la cotation, il montre que seuls Linkedin et Twitter ont r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 rester au-dessus du prix de cotation pendant une p\u00e9riode significative menant \u00e0 un an.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1949\" style=\"width: 1783px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat2.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1949\" style=\"max-width: 100%; height: auto;\" class=\"wp-image-1949 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat2.png\" alt=\"SnapChat IPO Price Trend Days of IPO\" width=\"1773\" height=\"852\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat2.png 1773w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat2-300x144.png 300w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat2-768x369.png 768w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat2-1024x492.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat2-945x454.png 945w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat2-600x288.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1773px) 100vw, 1773px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1949\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Yahoo Finance, propre analyse<\/p><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ce qui est le plus int\u00e9ressant, cependant, est la fa\u00e7on dont ces introductions en bourse se sont d\u00e9roul\u00e9es dans les 180 premiers jours suivant leur inscription. La plupart se n\u00e9gociaient nettement plus bas que leur prix d&#039;inscription. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1948\" style=\"width: 1784px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat3.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1948\" style=\"max-width: 100%; height: auto;\" class=\"wp-image-1948 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat3.png\" alt=\"SnapChat IPO Price Trend Days of IPO\" width=\"1774\" height=\"853\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat3.png 1774w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat3-300x144.png 300w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat3-768x369.png 768w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat3-1024x492.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat3-945x454.png 945w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat3-600x289.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1774px) 100vw, 1774px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1948\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Yahoo Finance, propre analyse<\/p><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">La seule exception que nous avons trouv\u00e9e et qui ne correspondait pas \u00e0 cette analyse \u00e9tait Google. \u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Quelle \u00e9toile! Non seulement \u00e0 180 jours, mais des ann\u00e9es plus tard, il est toujours en place.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1947\" style=\"width: 1783px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat4.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1947\" style=\"max-width: 100%; height: auto;\" class=\"wp-image-1947 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat4.png\" alt=\"SnapChat IPO Price Trend Days of IPO - Google\" width=\"1773\" height=\"853\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat4.png 1773w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat4-300x144.png 300w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat4-768x369.png 768w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat4-1024x493.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat4-945x455.png 945w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/snapchat4-600x289.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1773px) 100vw, 1773px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1947\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Yahoo Finance, propre analyse<\/p><\/div>\n<h2><b>Attention \u00e0 la p\u00e9riode de lock-up<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Une p\u00e9riode de blocage de l&#039;introduction en bourse est une restriction contractuelle qui interdit aux initi\u00e9s qui d\u00e9tiennent des actions d&#039;une soci\u00e9t\u00e9, avant leur introduction en bourse, de vendre les actions pendant une p\u00e9riode, qui dure g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement de 90 \u00e0 180 jours apr\u00e8s l&#039;ouverture de l&#039;entreprise.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00c0 la fin de la p\u00e9riode de blocage, vous pouvez voir certains des initi\u00e9s et des premiers investisseurs liquider les actions, ce qui pourrait exercer une pression \u00e0 la baisse sur l&#039;action.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dans le cas de Snap, il semble qu&#039;ils aient maintenu la p\u00e9riode de blocage pour certains investisseurs \u00e0 un an, ce qui est bien sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 la norme de 180 jours. C&#039;est un bon pas de la part de l&#039;entreprise pour montrer sa confiance en son introduction en bourse et attirer des investisseurs de qualit\u00e9 qui croient en l&#039;avenir de l&#039;entreprise plut\u00f4t que de simples parieurs. <\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>Sommaire<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Snap Inc pourrait continuer \u00e0 se rallier \u00e0 la mani\u00e8re de Google, mais je suis s\u00fbr que je ne suis pas le seul \u00e0 croire que le battage m\u00e9diatique derri\u00e8re Snap Inc ressemble \u00e0 ce que nous avions vu pour Groupon. M\u00eame le surperformateur \u00e0 long terme, Facebook, a connu des difficult\u00e9s au cours des 180 premiers jours apr\u00e8s sa mise en vente. Je chercherai \u00e0 acheter et \u00e0 ajouter des options de vente \u00e0 mon portefeuille si le rallye de Snap Inc se poursuit, mon objectif \u00e9tant de sortir dans les 180 premiers jours. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Vous pouvez garder une trace de toutes les nouvelles et tweets pertinents sur Snap Inc sur notre plate-forme prim\u00e9e CityFALCON <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/watchlists?assets=SnapChat\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ici<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>R\u00e9sum\u00e9 de la tendance des prix d&#039;introduction en bourse de SnapChat \u00e0 ce jour: apr\u00e8s leur introduction en bourse, les entreprises technologiques passent par 4 phases: l&#039;euphorie, le pessimisme, l&#039;optimisme et le r\u00e9alisme. Snap Inc est \u00e9videmment au stade Euphoria. Les donn\u00e9es sur les prix de 7 introductions en bourse de grandes technologies montrent que la plupart\u2026 <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/fr\/investments\/snapchat-ipo-price-trend\/\">Continuer la lecture \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2340,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1944","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investments"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>SnapChat IPO Price Trend. Will it Follow Google, Facebook or Groupon? - CityFALCON Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/snapchat-ipo-price-trend\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"SnapChat IPO Price Trend. Will it Follow Google, Facebook or Groupon? - CityFALCON Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Summary of SnapChat IPO price trend so far: Post their IPOs, tech companies go through 4 phases: Euphoria, Pessimism, Optimism, and Realism. Snap Inc is obviously in the Euphoria stage. Price data of 7 big tech IPOs show that most... 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