{"id":2103,"date":"2017-03-16T02:19:42","date_gmt":"2017-03-16T02:19:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/?p=2103"},"modified":"2017-12-19T14:31:23","modified_gmt":"2017-12-19T14:31:23","slug":"triggering-article-50","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/fr\/market-news-analysis\/triggering-article-50\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00e9clenchement de l'article 50 - implications pour le march\u00e9 britannique"},"content":{"rendered":"

Le parlement britannique a approuv\u00e9 le projet de loi pour l'article 50. On s'attend \u00e0 ce que la PM Theresa May entame officiellement les n\u00e9gociations sur le Brexit avec l'UE d'ici la fin du mois de mars.<\/p>\n

Qu'est-ce que cela signifie:<\/p>\n

1) Les l\u00e9galit\u00e9s
\nMalgr\u00e9 le gain d'un d\u00e9lai de deux ans apr\u00e8s le d\u00e9clenchement, le d\u00e9lai r\u00e9el pour terminer les n\u00e9gociations serait plus court, \u00e9tant donn\u00e9 qu'un certain temps devra \u00eatre allou\u00e9 aux approbations parlementaires. Bien que le d\u00e9roulement des n\u00e9gociations r\u00e9elles reste incertain en l'absence de pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents, un bras de fer est attendu, le Royaume-Uni tentant d'obtenir le plus grand acc\u00e8s possible au march\u00e9 de l'UE tout en reprenant le contr\u00f4le de ses fronti\u00e8res et l'UE r\u00e9sistant \u00e0 l'octroi de faveurs sp\u00e9ciales au Royaume-Uni de peur que cela ne sape l'unit\u00e9 de l'UE.Les \u00e9v\u00e9nements politiques \u00e0 venir comme les \u00e9lections fran\u00e7aises pourraient \u00e9galement avoir un impact sur les n\u00e9gociations<\/p>\n

2) La livre
\nLe GBP a perdu ~ 16% par rapport \u00e0 l'USD depuis le r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum de l'ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re. Bien que la livre sterling ait d\u00e9clin\u00e9 \u00e0 l'annonce de l'approbation de la facture, on s'attend \u00e0 ce que l'\u00e9v\u00e9nement soit principalement int\u00e9gr\u00e9 et que le d\u00e9clencheur r\u00e9el puisse \u00eatre un non-\u00e9v\u00e9nement. Mais des risques \u00e0 la baisse demeurent - des hausses de taux am\u00e9ricaines et des perturbations inattendues des n\u00e9gociations.<\/p>\n

3) Les march\u00e9s
\nLe FTSE100 a ralli\u00e9 16% depuis le r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum. Mais l'essentiel de cette r\u00e9silience \u00e9tait d\u00fb \u00e0 une livre faible qui se traduisait par des b\u00e9n\u00e9fices pour les entreprises dont les b\u00e9n\u00e9fices internationaux constituaient principalement l'indice. \u00c0 l'avenir, les march\u00e9s pourraient \u00eatre volatils car ils suivent les hauts et les bas des n\u00e9gociations. De plus, les entreprises pourraient devoir affronter l'incertitude pendant une p\u00e9riode plus longue, car les n\u00e9gociations se concentrent davantage sur la transition que sur la conclusion d'un accord commercial.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

En savoir plus sur le Brexit ici<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u0421\u043e\u0445\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0442\u044c<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le parlement britannique a approuv\u00e9 le projet de loi pour l'article 50. On s'attend \u00e0 ce que la PM Theresa May entame officiellement les n\u00e9gociations sur le Brexit avec l'UE d'ici la fin du mois de mars. Qu'est-ce que cela signifie: 1) Les aspects juridiques Malgr\u00e9 un d\u00e9lai de 2 ans suivant\u2026 Continuer la lecture \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2109,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[210],"tags":[164,139],"class_list":["post-2103","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-news-analysis","tag-stock-market-news","tag-uk"],"yoast_head":"\nTriggering Article 50...<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The UK parliament has cleared the bill for Article 50. 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