{"id":2203,"date":"2017-04-20T16:35:36","date_gmt":"2017-04-20T16:35:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/?p=2203"},"modified":"2017-12-19T14:24:30","modified_gmt":"2017-12-19T14:24:30","slug":"uk-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/fr\/market-news-analysis\/uk-elections\/","title":{"rendered":"Annonce des \u00e9lections britanniques de mai: la hausse de la livre sterling est-elle durable?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Mardi, le Premier ministre britannique Theresa May a annonc\u00e9 des \u00e9lections g\u00e9n\u00e9rales surprises, qui se tiendraient le 8 juin. La livre sterling a augment\u00e9 de plus de 2% pour atteindre un sommet de six mois de $1.2904 \u00e0 la suite de la nouvelle, mettant fin \u00e0 son ralentissement prolong\u00e9 depuis le r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum de l&#039;ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Quelle est la motivation de May derri\u00e8re l&#039;annonce des \u00e9lections britanniques?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>M\u00eame si son parti dispose actuellement d&#039;une majorit\u00e9 au Parlement, il est mince et sa position sur le Brexit et le pouvoir de n\u00e9gociation est vuln\u00e9rable \u00e0 l&#039;ing\u00e9rence de l&#039;opposition ainsi que des extr\u00e9mistes de son propre parti. Les \u00e9lections sont un moyen d&#039;obtenir une plus grande majorit\u00e9 contre l&#039;opposition, d&#039;unir son propre parti et d&#039;obtenir un mandat plus clair (du public et du Parlement) pour mener les n\u00e9gociations sur le Brexit en douceur sans trop de conflits internes ou externes.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Pourquoi la livre sterling a-t-elle augment\u00e9? Cette hausse est-elle durable?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Les march\u00e9s ont consid\u00e9r\u00e9 cet \u00e9v\u00e9nement comme positif. Les sondages sugg\u00e8rent de fortes chances d&#039;une majorit\u00e9 conservatrice. Les march\u00e9s esp\u00e8rent que cette majorit\u00e9 apporterait une stabilit\u00e9 politique et r\u00e9duirait l&#039;incertitude dans les n\u00e9gociations sur le Brexit et donnerait \u00e9galement \u00e0 May plus de latitude pour adopter une approche pragmatique des n\u00e9gociations sans avoir \u00e0 c\u00e9der aux caprices des partisans du \u00abBrexit dur\u00bb au sein de son propre parti .<\/p>\n<p>Bien que l&#039;\u00e9limination de certaines incertitudes soutienne certainement la hausse de la livre sterling, elle reste vuln\u00e9rable \u00e0 de multiples vents contraires, notamment le risque d&#039;un r\u00e9sultat \u00e9lectoral divis\u00e9, les \u00e9carts de taux d&#039;int\u00e9r\u00eat avec la Fed et l&#039;incertitude li\u00e9e aux relations commerciales du Royaume-Uni avec l&#039;UE.<\/p>\n<p>En savoir plus sur le GBP <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/watchlists?assets=GBPUSD\">ici<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"border-radius: 2px; text-indent: 20px; width: auto; padding: 0px 4px 0px 0px; text-align: center; font: bold 11px\/20px 'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,sans-serif; color: #ffffff; background: #bd081c no-repeat scroll 3px 50% \/ 14px 14px; position: absolute; opacity: 1; z-index: 8675309; display: none; cursor: pointer;\">\u0421\u043e\u0445\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0442\u044c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"border-radius: 2px; text-indent: 20px; width: auto; padding: 0px 4px 0px 0px; text-align: center; font: bold 11px\/20px 'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,sans-serif; color: #ffffff; background: #bd081c  no-repeat scroll 3px 50% \/ 14px 14px; position: absolute; opacity: 1; z-index: 8675309; display: none; cursor: pointer;\">\u0421\u043e\u0445\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0442\u044c<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mardi, le Premier ministre britannique Theresa May a annonc\u00e9 des \u00e9lections g\u00e9n\u00e9rales surprises, qui se tiendraient le 8 juin. La livre sterling a augment\u00e9 de plus de 2% pour atteindre un sommet de six mois de $1.2904 \u00e0 la suite de la nouvelle, annulant son ralentissement prolong\u00e9 depuis le r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum de l&#039;ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re Quoi\u2026 <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/fr\/market-news-analysis\/uk-elections\/\">Continuer la lecture \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2213,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[210],"tags":[164,225],"class_list":["post-2203","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-news-analysis","tag-stock-market-news","tag-uk-elections"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>May&#039;s UK Elections announcement: is sterling&#039;s rise sustainable? - CityFALCON Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"UK PM Theresa May announced UK elections, to be held on June 8. 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