{"id":2387,"date":"2017-05-13T12:57:28","date_gmt":"2017-05-13T12:57:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/?p=2387"},"modified":"2017-12-19T14:24:30","modified_gmt":"2017-12-19T14:24:30","slug":"brexit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/fr\/market-news-analysis\/brexit\/","title":{"rendered":"Brexit et les douleurs de croissance du Royaume-Uni: ce n'est pas encore l'apocalypse"},"content":{"rendered":"

Les r\u00e9centes donn\u00e9es \u00e9conomiques britanniques ont raviv\u00e9 les craintes de ralentissement du Brexit: le PIB du premier trimestre est tomb\u00e9 \u00e0 0,3% contre 0,7% au trimestre pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent. Les donn\u00e9es de production industrielle de mars, publi\u00e9es cette semaine, \u00e9taient plus faibles que les estimations. Le d\u00e9ficit commercial s'est creus\u00e9 et atteint son plus haut niveau depuis six mois<\/p>\n

L'histoire jusqu'ici<\/strong>
\nLa croissance r\u00e9siliente du Royaume-Uni en 2016 a d\u00e9fi\u00e9 les craintes du Brexit \u00e0 la suite du r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum, l'\u00e9conomie b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiant d'une relance mon\u00e9taire qui a stimul\u00e9 la consommation et d'une livre faible qui a aid\u00e9 les exportateurs. Mais il s'av\u00e8re que 2016 a \u00e9t\u00e9 une ann\u00e9e de transition, l'impact du Brexit devenant tangible en 2017.<\/p>\n

L'impact du Brexit devient r\u00e9el<\/strong>
\nLes donn\u00e9es \u00e9conomiques r\u00e9centes du Royaume-Uni sont d\u00e9courageantes. Une livre sterling faible contribue \u00e0 une inflation plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e qui ronge la richesse des consommateurs, la hausse du ch\u00f4mage et la r\u00e9duction des co\u00fbts des entreprises limitant les salaires. Cela a eu un impact sur les d\u00e9penses de consommation, un moteur majeur de la croissance \u00e9conomique du Royaume-Uni. Les investissements souffrent \u00e9galement du fait que les entreprises retiennent leurs investissements dans un environnement incertain. Le ralentissement des investissements et la demande de consommation devraient peser sur la croissance en 2017<\/p>\n

Ce n'est pas encore apocalyptique, mais l'incertitude est \u00e0 l'ordre du jour<\/strong>
\nUne livre faible continuera \u00e0 aider les exportateurs et une politique budg\u00e9taire l\u00e9g\u00e8rement favorable pourrait soutenir la consommation, rendant le ralentissement un peu modeste. Mais il n'en demeure pas moins que les risques \u00e0 la baisse de la croissance li\u00e9s au ralentissement de la consommation et de l'investissement l'emportent largement sur les risques \u00e0 la hausse d'une livre faible. Alors que les n\u00e9gociations entre le Royaume-Uni et l'UE se d\u00e9roulent, des obstacles comme les possibilit\u00e9s de \u00abBrexit dur\u00bb, l'\u00e9chec des n\u00e9gociations, etc. pourraient ajouter des risques \u00e0 la baisse, mais ce n'est certainement pas un sc\u00e9nario apocalyptique pour l'histoire de la croissance du Royaume-Uni, du moins pour le moment.<\/p>\n

En savoir plus sur le Brexit ici<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u0421\u043e\u0445\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0442\u044c<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les donn\u00e9es \u00e9conomiques r\u00e9centes du Royaume-Uni ont raviv\u00e9 les craintes de ralentissement du Brexit: le PIB du premier trimestre est tomb\u00e9 \u00e0 0,3% contre 0,7% au trimestre pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent. Les donn\u00e9es de production industrielle de mars, publi\u00e9es cette semaine, \u00e9taient plus faibles que les estimations. Le d\u00e9ficit commercial s'est creus\u00e9 et atteint son plus haut niveau depuis six mois. Continuer la lecture \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2388,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[210],"tags":[140,164],"class_list":["post-2387","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-news-analysis","tag-brexit","tag-stock-market-news"],"yoast_head":"\nBrexit and UK\u2019s growing pains: its not doomsday yet - CityFALCON Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"UK's recent economic data has revived fears of a Brexit slowdown, but it's definitely not a doomsday scenario for UK's growth story, at least for now.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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