{"id":26281,"date":"2020-04-15T13:30:04","date_gmt":"2020-04-15T13:30:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cityfalcon.com\/blog\/?p=26281"},"modified":"2020-04-15T13:30:55","modified_gmt":"2020-04-15T13:30:55","slug":"what-is-the-vix-and-how-can-you-leverage-it-for-stock-market-trading-and-investing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/fr\/investments\/what-is-the-vix-and-how-can-you-leverage-it-for-stock-market-trading-and-investing\/","title":{"rendered":"Qu&#039;est-ce que le VIX et comment pouvez-vous en tirer parti pour le trading et l&#039;investissement en bourse?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Si vous avez pr\u00eat\u00e9 attention aux march\u00e9s pendant ces p\u00e9riodes de turbulence, il est probable que vous ayez rencontr\u00e9 des r\u00e9f\u00e9rences au VIX, \u00e9galement connu sous le nom d&#039;indice de volatilit\u00e9, ou \u00e0 son surnom plut\u00f4t inqui\u00e9tant, l &#039;\u00abindice de la peur\u00bb. Compte tenu de l&#039;impact d\u00e9vastateur de la pand\u00e9mie de COVID-19 sur les march\u00e9s mondiaux, la `` peur &#039;&#039; semble certainement \u00eatre un mot appropri\u00e9 \u00e0 utiliser lorsque vous essayez de faire des pr\u00e9visions de march\u00e9 en ce moment. Ce qui, en l&#039;occurrence, est exactement ce pour quoi le VIX est con\u00e7u.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Con\u00e7u par le Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), l&#039;indice de volatilit\u00e9 fournit une mesure du risque de march\u00e9 et du sentiment des investisseurs en projetant et en pr\u00e9voyant la volatilit\u00e9 future attendue. Le VIX ne fournit pas une mesure de la <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">pass\u00e9<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> volatilit\u00e9, il pr\u00e9dit sa <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">avenir <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">volatilit\u00e9. \u00c0 cet \u00e9gard, il est fondamentalement diff\u00e9rent de la volatilit\u00e9 historique, qui mesure l&#039;\u00e9cart-type annualis\u00e9 en pourcentage du cours de l&#039;action.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">En tant que mesure de la volatilit\u00e9 implicite (ou attendue) et d&#039;un barom\u00e8tre continuellement mis \u00e0 jour du sentiment des investisseurs, le VIX est une ressource utile pour les investisseurs et les analystes qui cherchent \u00e0 \u00e9valuer le risque et \u00e0 mesurer la tension du march\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><b>Comment fonctionne le VIX?\u00a0<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Avant de regarder comment le VIX calcule la volatilit\u00e9, nous devons d&#039;abord consid\u00e9rer ce que nous entendons r\u00e9ellement par <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\/courses\/stocks\/stock-markets-101\/stock-market-volatility\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">volatilit\u00e9 par rapport au march\u00e9 boursier<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. D&#039;une mani\u00e8re g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, la volatilit\u00e9 fait r\u00e9f\u00e9rence \u00e0 l&#039;ampleur et au rythme des fluctuations des prix. En d&#039;autres termes, c&#039;est une mesure de la vitesse \u00e0 laquelle les prix changent. De grandes fluctuations dans les deux sens sont associ\u00e9es \u00e0 un march\u00e9 volatil.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Une volatilit\u00e9 \u00e9lev\u00e9e d\u00e9crit des fluctuations de prix dramatiques sur de courtes p\u00e9riodes et est souvent li\u00e9e \u00e0 l&#039;impr\u00e9visibilit\u00e9 et donc \u00e0 un risque accru. Un march\u00e9 calme a tendance \u00e0 entra\u00eener une pr\u00e9dominance de l&#039;achat d&#039;options d&#039;achat, tandis qu&#039;un march\u00e9 volatil va g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement de pair avec une pr\u00e9cipitation pour acheter des options d&#039;achat.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Le VIX est bas\u00e9 sur les options de l&#039;indice S&amp;P 500, qui est largement consid\u00e9r\u00e9 comme un bon indicateur de l&#039;ensemble du march\u00e9 boursier am\u00e9ricain. Il utilise des options SPX standard et hebdomadaires pour calculer la volatilit\u00e9 attendue en faisant la moyenne des prix pond\u00e9r\u00e9s des options de vente et d&#039;achat hors du cours. Les math\u00e9matiques derri\u00e8re ce calcul sont trop compliqu\u00e9es \u00e0 couvrir en d\u00e9tail ici, mais vous pouvez en savoir plus sur la formule VIX dans CBOE <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cboe.com\/micro\/vix\/vixwhite.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">papier blanc<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">La lecture du VIX est plut\u00f4t simple: les nombres repr\u00e9sentent la plage de pourcentage de mouvement attendue du S&amp;P 500 au cours de l&#039;ann\u00e9e suivante \u00e0 un niveau de confiance de 68% (un \u00e9cart type de la courbe de probabilit\u00e9 normale). Donc, si le VIX est \u00e0 30, cela \u00e9quivaut \u00e0 une attente (avec une probabilit\u00e9 de 68%) d&#039;au plus 30% de changement au cours de l&#039;ann\u00e9e suivante, \u00e0 la hausse ou \u00e0 la baisse.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cela peut \u00eatre converti en un chiffre mensuel en divisant la lecture par la racine carr\u00e9e de 12 (3,46). Ainsi, en prolongeant l&#039;exemple ci-dessus, une lecture VIX de 30 sugg\u00e9rerait une plage mensuelle de 8,7% (30 divis\u00e9 par 3,46).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Le VIX devrait refl\u00e9ter la peur (ou la complaisance) des investisseurs comme une mesure de la volatilit\u00e9 implicite. Par cons\u00e9quent, il a tendance \u00e0 suivre n\u00e9gativement l&#039;indice S&amp;P 500, en hausse lorsque le S&amp;P baisse et en baisse lorsqu&#039;il est \u00e0 la hausse.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><b>Comment VIX peut-il \u00eatre utilis\u00e9 par les investisseurs?<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">En tant qu&#039;indicateur du sentiment du march\u00e9, le VIX peut aider les investisseurs \u00e0 anticiper les tendances et \u00e0 concevoir des strat\u00e9gies de couverture. Il agit efficacement comme une mesure de l&#039;offre et de la demande, augmentant lorsque la demande de vente augmente - une tendance qui tend \u00e0 refl\u00e9ter l&#039;anxi\u00e9t\u00e9 du march\u00e9.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Paradoxalement, acheter quand le VIX est \u00e9lev\u00e9 et vendre quand il est bas est une strat\u00e9gie bien \u00e9tablie. En effet, la plupart des investisseurs chevronn\u00e9s connaissent le mantra \u00ablorsque le VIX est \u00e9lev\u00e9, il est temps d&#039;acheter; quand le VIX est bas, il est temps de partir. \u00bb La th\u00e9orie derri\u00e8re cette strat\u00e9gie est que l&#039;anxi\u00e9t\u00e9 du march\u00e9 sera probablement \u00e0 son plus haut lorsque les prix seront au plus bas, juste avant une correction.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Suivant cette logique, le VIX peut \u00eatre utilis\u00e9 comme un indicateur \u00e0 contre-courant: des niveaux \u00e9lev\u00e9s - indiquant la peur sur le march\u00e9 - peuvent \u00eatre interpr\u00e9t\u00e9s comme un signe positif que le march\u00e9 est sur le point de rebondir. De la m\u00eame mani\u00e8re, des lectures VIX faibles indiquent que le march\u00e9 est complaisant et pourrait \u00eatre sur le point de baisser.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Inutile de dire que le VIX n&#039;est pas un moyen s\u00fbr de pr\u00e9dire les tendances du march\u00e9, mais il offre certainement un aper\u00e7u utile du sentiment du march\u00e9 et peut \u00eatre un outil utile lorsqu&#039;il est utilis\u00e9 avec d&#039;autres indicateurs de march\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><b>Puis-je \u00e9changer le VIX?<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">En plus de l&#039;utiliser comme outil pour informer votre strat\u00e9gie d&#039;investissement, vous pouvez \u00e9galement \u00e9changer des titres qui suivent la valeur du VIX. Bien que le trading sur le VIX lui-m\u00eame ne puisse pas se faire directement, il est possible d&#039;investir indirectement dans le VIX via des contrats \u00e0 terme, des options ou des ETF VIX (Exchange Traded Funds).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Les FNB VIX investissent dans des contrats \u00e0 terme VIX et offrent un moyen assez populaire de sp\u00e9culer ou de se prot\u00e9ger contre les mouvements futurs du march\u00e9. Le seul probl\u00e8me est que les ETF VIX ont un mauvais bilan de corr\u00e9lation avec le VIX lui-m\u00eame, et de nombreux commentateurs les consid\u00e8rent comme de mauvais investissements \u00e0 long terme. Cependant, ils peuvent \u00eatre utiles comme moyen de se pr\u00e9munir contre la volatilit\u00e9 des march\u00e9s \u00e0 court terme. \u00c9tant donn\u00e9 que le VIX devrait grimper lorsque le march\u00e9 s&#039;effondre, vous pouvez vous attendre \u00e0 ce qu&#039;un FNB VIX augmente \u00e0 mesure que le march\u00e9 baisse, ce qui en fait un moyen efficace de prot\u00e9ger votre portefeuille, du moins en th\u00e9orie.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Vous pourriez en apprendre beaucoup sur la fa\u00e7on de n\u00e9gocier VIX en suivant des actualit\u00e9s, des tweets et des analyses en temps r\u00e9el et pertinents <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/news\/directory\/indices\/cboe-volatility-index-vix\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ici<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Si vous avez pr\u00eat\u00e9 attention aux march\u00e9s pendant ces p\u00e9riodes de turbulence, il est probable que vous ayez rencontr\u00e9 des r\u00e9f\u00e9rences au VIX, \u00e9galement connu sous le nom d&#039;indice de volatilit\u00e9, ou \u00e0 son surnom plut\u00f4t inqui\u00e9tant, l &#039;\u00abindice de la peur\u00bb. Compte tenu de l&#039;impact d\u00e9vastateur de\u2026 <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/fr\/investments\/what-is-the-vix-and-how-can-you-leverage-it-for-stock-market-trading-and-investing\/\">Continuer la lecture \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":26284,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[30,54,18,415],"class_list":["post-26281","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investments","tag-investing","tag-stock-market","tag-trading","tag-vix"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>What is the VIX and how can you leverage it for stock market trading and investing? - CityFALCON Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The famous volatility indicator or &quot;fear index&quot; extracts market outlook from market action. 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