{"id":3068,"date":"2017-07-06T15:48:27","date_gmt":"2017-07-06T15:48:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/?p=3068"},"modified":"2017-12-19T14:21:45","modified_gmt":"2017-12-19T14:21:45","slug":"illinois-credit-downgrade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/fr\/market-news-analysis\/illinois-credit-downgrade\/","title":{"rendered":"R\u00e9trogradation du cr\u00e9dit dans l'Illinois - en suspens dans le solde budg\u00e9taire"},"content":{"rendered":"

Moody's a mis en garde hier contre une d\u00e9gradation de la cote de cr\u00e9dit de l'\u00e9tat am\u00e9ricain de l'Illinois.<\/p>\n

L'arri\u00e8re-plan<\/strong><\/p>\n

L'\u00c9tat n'a pas eu de budget annuel complet au cours des 2 derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es en raison d'un d\u00e9saccord sur le plan de d\u00e9penses \/ revenus entre son gouverneur r\u00e9publicain Bruce Rauner et la l\u00e9gislature contr\u00f4l\u00e9e par les d\u00e9mocrates. Les politiques pro-entreprises de Rauner de r\u00e9ductions d'imp\u00f4ts et de r\u00e9duction des co\u00fbts dans les r\u00e9gimes d'indemnisation des travailleurs ne se sont pas bien entendues avec les d\u00e9mocrates qui estimaient que ces politiques nuiraient \u00e0 la classe moyenne. Apr\u00e8s deux ans d'impasse, l'Illinois devrait d\u00e9sormais disposer d'un budget. Moody's avait auparavant averti l'\u00c9tat d'adopter un budget ou de faire face \u00e0 une baisse de la note. Cependant, il semble que l'\u00c9tat pourrait faire face \u00e0 une d\u00e9gradation malgr\u00e9 le budget, car l'agence de notation remet en question l'absence de solution \u00e0 long terme pour corriger le d\u00e9sordre financier de l'\u00c9tat.<\/p>\n

Exode massif peu probable<\/strong><\/p>\n

Alors qu'une baisse du statut ind\u00e9sirable pourrait d\u00e9clencher une liquidation des obligations entra\u00eenant une baisse des prix des obligations, un exode massif des investisseurs est peu probable. On s'attend \u00e0 ce que les plus grands d\u00e9tenteurs d'obligations de l'\u00c9tat ne quittent pas imm\u00e9diatement et pourraient \u00e9viter le stress de vendre leurs avoirs.<\/p>\n

Mais le co\u00fbt pour l'\u00e9conomie de l'\u00c9tat serait \u00e9norme<\/strong><\/p>\n

Une note ind\u00e9sirable augmenterait consid\u00e9rablement les co\u00fbts d'emprunt pour l'\u00c9tat. Cela aurait un impact sur la capacit\u00e9 du gouvernement \u00e0 poursuivre les d\u00e9penses publiques telles que l'aide f\u00e9d\u00e9rale aux universit\u00e9s, les aides m\u00e9dicales et les retraites. Une hausse des taxes pour g\u00e9n\u00e9rer des revenus de l'\u00c9tat nuirait aux revenus des particuliers et des entreprises. Les investissements dans l'\u00c9tat finiraient par souffrir \u00e0 mesure que les personnes et les entreprises quitteraient l'\u00c9tat \u00e0 la recherche de meilleures perspectives.<\/p>\n

Suivez l'actualit\u00e9 de Moody's ici<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Moody's a mis en garde hier contre une d\u00e9gradation de la cote de cr\u00e9dit de l'\u00e9tat am\u00e9ricain de l'Illinois. 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