{"id":4027,"date":"2018-03-13T12:54:18","date_gmt":"2018-03-13T12:54:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/?p=4027"},"modified":"2018-03-16T10:18:58","modified_gmt":"2018-03-16T10:18:58","slug":"the-complete-guide-to-concentrated-stocks-value-investing-play-to-win","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/fr\/investments\/the-complete-guide-to-concentrated-stocks-value-investing-play-to-win\/","title":{"rendered":"Le guide complet des actions de portefeuille concentr\u00e9es Value Investing - Play to Win"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Audacieux. C&#039;est ainsi que la plupart des gens d\u00e9criraient l&#039;investissement ax\u00e9 sur la valeur. Se retrouver face \u00e0 face avec le train \u00e0 grande vitesse pourrait certainement \u00eatre passionnant et passionnant, mais sur les march\u00e9s financiers modernes o\u00f9 tout est d\u00e9cid\u00e9 en une seconde, cela pourrait conduire \u00e0 un d\u00e9sastre complet - ou le serait-il? Jetons un coup d&#039;\u0153il \u00e0 la fa\u00e7on dont les grands investisseurs concentr\u00e9s arrachent une victoire aux m\u00e2choires de la d\u00e9faite.<\/p>\n<p>Comme pour cette entr\u00e9e de blog, nous analyserons les portefeuilles avec peu de paris fortement augment\u00e9s. Ces strat\u00e9gies dans le monde de l&#039;investissement sont appel\u00e9es \u00abinvestissement cibl\u00e9\u00bb ou \u00abinvestissement concentr\u00e9\u00bb. De toute \u00e9vidence et \u00e0 notre grande surprise, plusieurs \u00e9tudes de recherche confirment m\u00eame leur surperformance dans son ensemble.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_4028\" style=\"width: 1442px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Go-for-the-jugular.jpg\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4028\" class=\"wp-image-4028 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Go-for-the-jugular.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1432\" height=\"952\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Go-for-the-jugular.jpg 1432w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Go-for-the-jugular-300x199.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Go-for-the-jugular-768x511.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Go-for-the-jugular-1024x681.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Go-for-the-jugular-945x628.jpg 945w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Go-for-the-jugular-600x399.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1432px) 100vw, 1432px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-4028\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source de l&#039;image: Pixabay<\/p><\/div>\n<p><em>\u00abOptez pour la jugulaire\u00bb, conseille Soros \u00e0 Druckenmiller, juste un jour avant la d\u00e9valuation de la livre.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Le raisonnement de base de l&#039;investissement concentr\u00e9 est en fait assez simple, il va comme le dit le dicton: \u00able gagnant prend tout\u00bb et c&#039;est en tandem avec le monde du poker. Vous voyez, ils ont tous deux la m\u00eame r\u00e8gle empirique sous-jacente: minimiser vos pertes et extraire le maximum de vos opportunit\u00e9s. Malgr\u00e9 cela, les donn\u00e9es acad\u00e9miques sugg\u00e8rent que la plupart des fonds d&#039;investissement ne parviennent pas \u00e0 accomplir exactement cela - tirer le maximum des opportunit\u00e9s offertes. Non seulement cela, ils \u00e9chouent \u00e9galement \u00e0 se pr\u00e9parer au pire - jetez un coup d&#039;\u0153il \u00e0 leur sous-performance continue, Jeez. Malheureusement, \u00e9tant donn\u00e9 le domaine hautement concurrentiel aliment\u00e9 par des biais cognitifs et des r\u00e9glementations strictes, il est probable que cela se poursuive ...<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Le\u00e7ons de <em>holdem<\/em> poker: <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Au poker, chaque intervalle de pari oblige le joueur \u00e0 <em>soit v\u00e9rifier, \u00e9lever ou plier<\/em>. En termes d&#039;investissement, cela signifierait soit <em>ajouter \u00e0 la position actuelle, la maintenir telle quelle ou r\u00e9duire les pertes et sortir<\/em>. La probabilit\u00e9 de gagner la main peut \u00eatre pr\u00e9d\u00e9termin\u00e9e pendant la <em>fiasco<\/em> \u00e9tape, juste au moment o\u00f9 le jeu commence, et les mains sont assign\u00e9es soit comme les \u00abmauvaises\u00bb \u2013fold, ou \u00abbonnes\u00bb - check. Les actions obtenues \u00e0 des niveaux inad\u00e9quats peuvent \u00eatre compar\u00e9es aux mauvaises mains du poker, bien s\u00fbr que vous pouvez gagner avec elles, mais la probabilit\u00e9 d&#039;un r\u00e9sultat favorable est faible. Au fil du temps, <em>chances<\/em> ou <em>Les airs de Dame Fortuna<\/em> comme <strong>B. Graham<\/strong> les appellerait, diminuerait consid\u00e9rablement \u00e0 mesure que le nombre d&#039;essais augmentait, par cons\u00e9quent, l&#039;investisseur ou le joueur de poker exp\u00e9riment\u00e9 devrait toujours pr\u00e9f\u00e9rer jouer avec les `` bonnes &#039;&#039; mains donn\u00e9es - un investisseur devrait agir en obtenant des actions de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e0 un prix ad\u00e9quat, \u00e0 mesure qu&#039;il augmente la probabilit\u00e9 de gagner avec le temps.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_4029\" style=\"width: 1418px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Fortune-Wheel-\u2013-Fortunes-Cards.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4029\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4029\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Fortune-Wheel-\u2013-Fortunes-Cards.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1408\" height=\"1001\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Fortune-Wheel-\u2013-Fortunes-Cards.jpg 1408w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Fortune-Wheel-\u2013-Fortunes-Cards-300x213.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Fortune-Wheel-\u2013-Fortunes-Cards-768x546.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Fortune-Wheel-\u2013-Fortunes-Cards-1024x728.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Fortune-Wheel-\u2013-Fortunes-Cards-945x672.jpg 945w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Fortune-Wheel-\u2013-Fortunes-Cards-600x427.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1408px) 100vw, 1408px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-4029\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u00abFortune Wheel - Fortunes Cards\u00bb<br \/>Source de l&#039;image: Pixabay<\/p><\/div>\n<p>La premi\u00e8re \u00e9tape des paris au poker est celle o\u00f9 cela devient int\u00e9ressant. Avec les bonnes - \u00abbonnes\u00bb cartes, un joueur exp\u00e9riment\u00e9 saisira l&#039;opportunit\u00e9 avec une mise ad\u00e9quate. Le pari est plac\u00e9 dans la mesure o\u00f9 si la perte, en fait, se produisait, elle ne laisserait pas le joueur sans une autre bankroll \u00e0 parier, ou un mendiant dans la rue. Cela diminuerait cependant consid\u00e9rablement son tr\u00e9sor de guerre. Une perte de 3-17% est consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme une norme dans de tels sc\u00e9narios. <em>Pour un investisseur en qu\u00eate de gemmes, l&#039;ordre stop-loss est souvent plac\u00e9 dans cette fourchette. <\/em><\/p>\n<p>La m\u00eame r\u00e8gle empirique s&#039;applique lorsqu&#039;un investisseur cibl\u00e9 d\u00e9couvre une opportunit\u00e9 sur un march\u00e9 - une soi-disant \u00abbonne\u00bb carte, une part sous-\u00e9valu\u00e9e d&#039;une entreprise. Il commence \u00e0 s&#039;engager dans un processus de \u00abconstruction\u00bb. Premi\u00e8rement, acqu\u00e9rir une participation petite mais significative compte tenu des informations obtenues et d\u00e9voil\u00e9es \u00e0 l&#039;\u00e9poque, attendre calmement mais patiemment et progresser vers la phase ult\u00e9rieure, s&#039;engager dans des activit\u00e9s d&#039;achat alors que les chances changent en faveur et que la conviction augmente. <strong><em>\u00abChaque bataille est gagn\u00e9e ou perdue avant m\u00eame qu&#039;elle ne soit men\u00e9e\u00bb. <\/em><\/strong>Comme Sun Tzu le ferait rapidement remarquer.<\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;border-color:#ccc;}\n.tg td{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#fff;}\n.tg th{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:normal;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#f0f0f0;}\n@media screen and (max-width: 767px) \n{.tg {width: auto !important;}\n.tg col {width: auto !important;}\n.tg-wrap {overflow-x: auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;}}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tg-wrap\">\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"228\"><strong>Stock<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"63\"><strong>% de portefeuille<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Actions<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"102\"><strong>Activit\u00e9 r\u00e9cente<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\"><strong>Prix d\u00e9clar\u00e9 *<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\"><strong>Valeur<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"228\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=FCAU\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FCAU - Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"63\">60.62<\/td>\n<td>13,109,310<\/td>\n<td width=\"102\">Aucun<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$17.84<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$233,870,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"228\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=GOOG\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">GOOG - Alphabet Inc. CL C<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"63\">12.43<\/td>\n<td>45,828<\/td>\n<td width=\"102\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">R\u00e9duire 30.80%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$1046.39<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$47,954,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"228\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=AER\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AER - AerCap Holdings NV<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"63\">11.01<\/td>\n<td>807,721<\/td>\n<td width=\"102\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">R\u00e9duire 22.87%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$52.61<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$42,494,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"228\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=RACE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">COURSE - Ferrari NV<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"63\">10.84<\/td>\n<td>398,138<\/td>\n<td width=\"102\">Aucun<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$105.01<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$41,808,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"228\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=LUV\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LUV - Southwest Airlines<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"63\">5.11<\/td>\n<td>300,975<\/td>\n<td width=\"102\">Aucun<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$65.45<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$19,699,000<\/td>\n<p>\/ tr&gt;<br \/>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>\u00a0[Tableau 1] Pond\u00e9rations du portefeuille Mohnish.Pabrai comme d\u00e9sactiv\u00e9es <strong>T4 2017<\/strong>,<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;border-color:#ccc;}\n.tg td{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#fff;}\n.tg th{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:normal;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#f0f0f0;}\n@media screen and (max-width: 767px) \n{.tg {width: auto !important;}\n.tg col {width: auto !important;}\n.tg-wrap {overflow-x: auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;}}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tg-wrap\">\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Stock<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>% de portefeuille<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Actions<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"110\"><strong>Activit\u00e9 r\u00e9cente<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\"><strong>Prix d\u00e9clar\u00e9 *<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\"><strong>Valeur<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"227\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=BAM\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BAM - Gestion d&#039;actifs Brookfield Inc.<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"63\">10.89<\/td>\n<td>7,686,014<\/td>\n<td width=\"110\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">R\u00e9duire 0,56%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$43.56<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$334,817,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=LBTYK\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LBTYK - Liberty Global Inc. C<\/a><\/td>\n<td>10.58<\/td>\n<td>9,612,930<\/td>\n<td width=\"110\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">R\u00e9duire 2.00%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$33.84<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$325,302,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=SCHW\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">SCHW - Charles Schwab<\/a><\/td>\n<td>10.21<\/td>\n<td>6,112,229<\/td>\n<td width=\"110\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">R\u00e9duire 1.26%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$51.37<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$313,985,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=ALSN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ALSN - Allison Transmission Holdings<\/a><\/td>\n<td>10.04<\/td>\n<td>7,165,163<\/td>\n<td width=\"110\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">R\u00e9duire 0,14%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$43.07<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$308,604,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=CABO\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CABO - Cable ONE Inc.<\/a><\/td>\n<td>8.20<\/td>\n<td>358,409<\/td>\n<td width=\"110\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Ajouter 53.62%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$703.35<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$252,087,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=AXTA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AXTA - Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.<\/a><\/td>\n<td>8.06<\/td>\n<td>7,657,287<\/td>\n<td width=\"110\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Ajouter 1.18%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$32.36<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$247,790,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=CHTR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CHTR - Communications Charte<\/a><\/td>\n<td>7.00<\/td>\n<td>640,658<\/td>\n<td width=\"110\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Acheter<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$335.96<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$215,235,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investing-for-newbies\/10-questions-about-value-investing-in-stocks-that-most-beginners-ask\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AAPL - Apple Inc.<\/a><\/td>\n<td>6.82<\/td>\n<td>1,239,748<\/td>\n<td width=\"110\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Ajouter 0.39%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$169.23<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$209,803,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=BRK.B\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BRK.B - Berkshire Hathaway CL B<\/a><\/td>\n<td>6.69<\/td>\n<td>1,037,262<\/td>\n<td width=\"110\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">R\u00e9duire 21.60%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$198.22<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$205,606,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=ST\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ST - Holding Sensata Technologies<\/a><\/td>\n<td>6.48<\/td>\n<td>3,900,128<\/td>\n<td width=\"110\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Ajouter 0.29%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$51.11<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$199,336,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=SBAC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">SBAC - SBA Communications Corp.<\/a><\/td>\n<td>6.38<\/td>\n<td>1,201,439<\/td>\n<td width=\"110\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">R\u00e9duire 0.44%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$163.36<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$196,267,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=TYL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">TYL - Tyler Technologies Inc.<\/a><\/td>\n<td>5.16<\/td>\n<td>896,097<\/td>\n<td width=\"110\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Ajouter 0.83%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$177.05<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">$158,654,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>[Tableau 2] SQ Advisors, pond\u00e9rations du portefeuille Lou Simpson au <strong>T4 2017<\/strong>,<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;border-color:#ccc;}\n.tg td{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#fff;}\n.tg th{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:normal;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#f0f0f0;}\n@media screen and (max-width: 767px) \n{.tg {width: auto !important;}\n.tg col {width: auto !important;}\n.tg-wrap {overflow-x: auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;}}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tg-wrap\">\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"222\"><strong>Stock<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"62\"><strong>% de portefeuille<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"74\"><strong>Actions<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\"><strong>Activit\u00e9 r\u00e9cente<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"111\"><strong>Prix d\u00e9clar\u00e9 *<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"113\"><strong>Valeur<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"222\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=FOX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FOX - Twenty-First Century Fox CL B<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"62\">18.41<\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">53,326,334<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">Aucun<\/td>\n<td width=\"111\">$34.12<\/td>\n<td width=\"113\">$1,819,494,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"222\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=ADS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ADS - Syst\u00e8mes de donn\u00e9es de l&#039;Alliance<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"62\">15.07<\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">5,877,400<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">Aucun<\/td>\n<td width=\"111\">$253.48<\/td>\n<td width=\"113\">$1,489,803,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"222\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=CBG\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CBG - Groupe CBRE<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"62\">10.92<\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">24,916,923<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">R\u00e9duire 13.72%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"111\">$43.31<\/td>\n<td width=\"113\">$1,079,151,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"222\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=KKR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">KKR - KKR &amp; Co. LP<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"62\">10.18<\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">47,750,000<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Ajouter 4.82%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"111\">$21.06<\/td>\n<td width=\"113\">$1,005,615,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"222\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=MS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MS - Morgan Stanley<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"62\">9.53<\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">17,959,620<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Ajouter 0.42%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"111\">$52.47<\/td>\n<td width=\"113\">$942,341,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"222\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=STX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">STX - Technologie Seagate<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"62\">9.08<\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">21,458,600<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">Aucun<\/td>\n<td width=\"111\">$41.84<\/td>\n<td width=\"113\">$897,827,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"222\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=MSFT\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MSFT - Microsoft Corp.<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"62\">7.80<\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">9,014,063<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Ajouter 0.01%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"111\">$85.54<\/td>\n<td width=\"113\">$771,062,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"222\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=TRN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">TRN - Trinity Industries<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"62\">7.05<\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">18,607,352<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Ajouter 7.84%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"111\">$37.46<\/td>\n<td width=\"113\">$697,031,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"222\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=AWI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AWI - Armstrong World Industries Inc.<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"62\">5.64<\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">9,202,612<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">Aucun<\/td>\n<td width=\"111\">$60.55<\/td>\n<td width=\"113\">$557,218,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>[Tableau 3] Pond\u00e9rations du portefeuille de Jeffrey Ubben comme d\u00e9sactiv\u00e9es <strong>T4 2017<\/strong>,<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;border-color:#ccc;}\n.tg td{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#fff;}\n.tg th{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:normal;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#f0f0f0;}\n@media screen and (max-width: 767px) \n{.tg {width: auto !important;}\n.tg col {width: auto !important;}\n.tg-wrap {overflow-x: auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;}}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tg-wrap\">\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"204\"><strong>Stock<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"69\"><strong>% de portefeuille<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Actions<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"121\"><strong>Activit\u00e9 r\u00e9cente<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"74\"><strong>Prix d\u00e9clar\u00e9 *<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"92\"><strong>Valeur<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"204\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=COMM\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">COMM - CommScope Holding Co.<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">18.94<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>3,819,482<\/td>\n<td width=\"121\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Ajouter 3.78%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">$37.83<\/td>\n<td width=\"92\">$144,491,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"204\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=OI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">OI - Owens-Illinois Inc.<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">18.83<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>6,481,703<\/td>\n<td width=\"121\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Ajouter 2.32%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">$22.17<\/td>\n<td width=\"92\">$143,699,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"204\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=ARRS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ARRS - ARRIS International plc<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">15.12<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>4,490,706<\/td>\n<td width=\"121\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Ajouter 13.52%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">$25.69<\/td>\n<td width=\"92\">$115,366,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"204\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=HUN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">HUN - Huntsman Corp.<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">14.58<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>3,341,917<\/td>\n<td width=\"121\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">R\u00e9duire 4.02%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">$33.29<\/td>\n<td width=\"92\">$111,252,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"204\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=EMN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">EMN - Eastman Chemical<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">13.68<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>1,126,613<\/td>\n<td width=\"121\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">R\u00e9duire 7.49%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">$92.64<\/td>\n<td width=\"92\">$104,369,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"204\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=DBD\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DBD - Diebold Inc.<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">11.61<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>5,419,841<\/td>\n<td width=\"121\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">R\u00e9duire 16.38%<\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"74\">$16.35<\/td>\n<td width=\"92\">$88,614,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>[Tableau 4] Pond\u00e9rations du portefeuille d&#039;Alex Roepers comme d\u00e9sactiv\u00e9es <strong>T4 2017<\/strong>,<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Bien s\u00fbr, il y a une exception \u00e0 cette progression de l&#039;accumulation - le sc\u00e9nario de la `` carte parfaite &#039;&#039;, c&#039;est-\u00e0-dire les cas o\u00f9 les chances sont si significativement en votre faveur et le sc\u00e9nario \u00e0 la baisse, n&#039;est qu&#039;une ecchymose sur le portefeuille global, que vous pouvez aller \u00aball-in\u00bb. Souvent mesur\u00e9 par le ratio baissier \/ haussier. C&#039;est la combinaison de cartes que George Soros d\u00e9tenait lorsqu&#039;il a os\u00e9 d\u00e9fier la livre sterling r\u00e9gnante, ce sont les cartes que Nathan Rothchild a plac\u00e9es sur le march\u00e9 des lingots d&#039;or avec sa fortune familiale en ligne et ce sont les cartes que Michael Burry a tenues pendant le tristement c\u00e9l\u00e8bre \u00abBig Short\u00bb de 2008.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_4030\" style=\"width: 1418px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Odds-of-Royal-Flush.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4030\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4030\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Odds-of-Royal-Flush.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1408\" height=\"782\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Odds-of-Royal-Flush.jpg 1408w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Odds-of-Royal-Flush-300x167.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Odds-of-Royal-Flush-768x427.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Odds-of-Royal-Flush-1024x569.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Odds-of-Royal-Flush-945x525.jpg 945w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Odds-of-Royal-Flush-600x333.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1408px) 100vw, 1408px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-4030\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">&quot;Les chances de Royal Flush sont de 649 739: 1&quot; Source de l&#039;image: Pixabay<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Les sc\u00e9narios donn\u00e9s et leur r\u00e9capitulatif de mise en sc\u00e8ne peuvent \u00eatre plac\u00e9s sur deux tableaux simples - des matrices d&#039;action. Cela devrait guider l&#039;investisseur concentr\u00e9 dans ses progr\u00e8s d\u00e9cisionnels.<\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;border-color:#ccc;}\n.tg td{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#fff;}\n.tg th{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:normal;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#f0f0f0;}\n@media screen and (max-width: 767px) \n{.tg {width: auto !important;}\n.tg col {width: auto !important;}\n.tg-wrap {overflow-x: auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;}}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tg-wrap\">\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"125\"><strong>\u00c9valuation<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"109\"><strong>Conviction<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"126\"><strong>Poids maximum<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"139\"><strong>Allocation de portefeuille<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"125\"><strong>Th\u00e8me<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"125\">Opportunit\u00e9 \u00e0 vie<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">Maximum<\/td>\n<td width=\"126\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>80 \u00e0 200%<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"139\">Tirer parti de fonds donn\u00e9s<\/td>\n<td width=\"125\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">A * \u00e0 payer dans un temps donn\u00e9.<\/span> <\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"125\">Tr\u00e8s sous-\u00e9valu\u00e9<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">Tr\u00e8s haut<\/td>\n<td width=\"126\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>40 - 80%<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"139\">Allocation la plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e<\/td>\n<td width=\"125\">Jeu \u00e0 long terme<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"125\">Sous-\u00e9valu\u00e9<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">Haute<\/td>\n<td width=\"126\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>10-40%<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"139\">Allocation \u00e9lev\u00e9e<\/td>\n<td width=\"125\">Jeu \u00e0 long terme<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"125\">Moyen<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">Haute<\/td>\n<td width=\"126\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>10 - 20%<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"139\">Allocation normale<\/td>\n<td width=\"125\">Jeu \u00e0 long terme<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"125\">Moyen<\/td>\n<td width=\"109\">Moyen<\/td>\n<td width=\"126\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>3 - 8%<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td width=\"139\">Allocation de grignotage<\/td>\n<td width=\"125\">Jeu \u00e0 long terme \/ \u00e0 court terme<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>[Tableau 5] Condamnation contre \u00e9valuation.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;border-color:#ccc;}\n.tg td{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#fff;}\n.tg th{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:normal;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#f0f0f0;}\n@media screen and (max-width: 767px) \n{.tg {width: auto !important;}\n.tg col {width: auto !important;}\n.tg-wrap {overflow-x: auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;}}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tg-wrap\">\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"234\"><strong>Prix \u00e0 l&#039;\u00e9valuation<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"390\"><strong>action<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"234\">Augmentation drastique<\/td>\n<td width=\"390\">R\u00e9duire la position donn\u00e9e<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"234\">Augmentation insignifiante<\/td>\n<td width=\"390\">Monter le gagnant. Ajouter.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"234\">Diminu\u00e9<\/td>\n<td width=\"390\">Si convaincu que le march\u00e9 est faux. <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Ajouter<\/em><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"234\">Diminu\u00e9<\/td>\n<td width=\"390\">Si convaincu que le march\u00e9 a raison. <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><em>Coupe<\/em><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>[Tableau 6] Actions sur les changements de prix \/ valeur.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Remarquez le mot \u00aba\u00bb (tableau 5) - dans les cas de levier, le paiement doit \u00eatre accord\u00e9 et dans un court laps de temps, sinon vous risquez de tomber dans une bataille prolong\u00e9e contre l&#039;ensemble du march\u00e9. Personne ne veut cela, car cela peut devenir catastrophique. Soulignant la deuxi\u00e8me table d&#039;action, monter les gagnants est une strat\u00e9gie ayant ses propres lacunes, bien que son avantage math\u00e9matique se pr\u00e9sente sous une forme simple, elle ne n\u00e9cessite pas autant de conviction que les sc\u00e9narios de chute de couteau. Pourquoi? Simplement - Un chien reste souvent un chien, la direction qui refuse de racheter son propre stock \u00e0 des niveaux de soutien importants vous permet de devenir un `` patsy &#039;&#039; - une P\u00e2que, une banque d&#039;escrocs. C&#039;est pourquoi une condamnation \u00absuppl\u00e9mentaire\u00bb est n\u00e9cessaire.<\/p>\n<p>Bien que le probl\u00e8me le moins cher devienne - plus une position peut \u00eatre construite \u00e0 la fin, S.Drucknemiller explique tout: \u00abla taille de la position peut \u00eatre plus importante que le prix d&#039;entr\u00e9e.\u00bb, \u00abLes pertes de papier ou les gains de papier, en fin de compte, c&#039;est position qui vous rend riche. \u00bb.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Des m\u00eames racines <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Le cadre est simple, mais difficile \u00e0 r\u00e9aliser. Maximiser les gains n\u00e9cessite d&#039;extrapoler les avantages que l&#039;on a par rapport aux autres, et jouer au jeu des bords (sp\u00e9cifiques \u00e0 l&#039;industrie, \u00e0 l&#039;entreprise, au pays) les meilleurs investisseurs ont tendance \u00e0 comprendre que l&#039;investissement est avant tout une question d&#039;exploitation - c&#039;est un jeu dans lequel vous essayez de extraire autant que possible de la situation gagnante et perdre le moins possible en perdant une. Pour un investisseur de valeur - La s\u00e9curit\u00e9 est dans l&#039;\u00e9valuation, plus pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment connue sous le nom de marge de s\u00e9curit\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Aussi intemporel soit-il, il sert \u00e0 limiter les \u00e9ventuels inconv\u00e9nients et \u00e0 maximiser le gain de queue du sc\u00e9nario \u00e0 la hausse.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Le mentor devient mentor\u00e9<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Bien que Graham soit davantage un fan de diversification en raison de ses paniers NCAV et Net-Net, ses successeurs avaient une gamme de types de portefeuilles.<\/p>\n<p>L&#039;un des initiateurs de l&#039;\u00e9cole de concentration et un gourou de l&#039;investissement hybride est connu sous le nom de <strong>Joel G. Oui, l&#039;auteur<\/strong> de \u00abVous pouvez \u00eatre le g\u00e9nie de la bourse\u00bb. Un investisseur qui se concentre sur des actions de valeur ax\u00e9es sur la qualit\u00e9 avec un rendement du capital \u00e9lev\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Greenblatt \u00e9nonce un principe simple mais classique que de nombreux investisseurs cibl\u00e9s ont adopt\u00e9: \u00abLes id\u00e9es principales devraient \u00eatre celles qui, s\u00fbrement, ne perdront pas d&#039;argent.\u00bb:<\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;border-color:#ccc;}\n.tg td{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#fff;}\n.tg th{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:normal;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#f0f0f0;}\n@media screen and (max-width: 767px) \n{.tg {width: auto !important;}\n.tg col {width: auto !important;}\n.tg-wrap {overflow-x: auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;}}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tg-wrap\">\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"201\">Num\u00e9ro 1<\/td>\n<td width=\"236\">Pari le plus s\u00fbr.<\/td>\n<td width=\"247\">20% Poids<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"201\">Num\u00e9ro 2<\/td>\n<td width=\"236\">Tr\u00e8s s\u00fbr.<\/td>\n<td width=\"247\">17% Poids<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"201\">Num\u00e9ro 3<\/td>\n<td width=\"236\">S\u00fbr.<\/td>\n<td width=\"247\">Poids 15%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"201\">Num\u00e9ro 4<\/td>\n<td width=\"236\">S\u00fbr.<\/td>\n<td width=\"247\">14% Poids<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>[Tableau 7] Du plus s\u00fbr au plus risqu\u00e9<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Au total, les 4 positions devraient repr\u00e9senter la partie lourde du portefeuille (parfois 100%) g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement pas moins de 40%, en fonction du nombre total de paris. Arbitraire, on peut tirer la loi de 66% \u00e0 75%, c&#039;est en fait un dimensionnement favorable \u00e9tant donn\u00e9 4 paris.<\/p>\n<p>Jetez un \u0153il \u00e0 la taille des investisseurs de premier plan:<\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;border-color:#ccc;}\n.tg td{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#fff;}\n.tg th{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:normal;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#f0f0f0;}\n@media screen and (max-width: 767px) \n{.tg {width: auto !important;}\n.tg col {width: auto !important;}\n.tg-wrap {overflow-x: auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;}}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tg-wrap\">\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Nom<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>T\u00e9l\u00e9scripteur<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Classe<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Port %<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rocketfinancial.com\/Overview.aspx?fID=3939&amp;pw=129945\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Produits forestiers R\u00e9solu inc.<\/a><\/td>\n<td>RFP<\/td>\n<td>Commun<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\">21.73<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rocketfinancial.com\/Overview.aspx?fID=1058&amp;pw=34872\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC<\/a><\/td>\n<td>BRK.A<\/td>\n<td>Commun<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\">19.09<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rocketfinancial.com\/Overview.aspx?fID=575&amp;pw=18933\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">WELLS FARGO &amp; COMPANY \/ MN<\/a><\/td>\n<td>WFC \/ WS<\/td>\n<td>Les mandats<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\">11.78<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rocketfinancial.com\/Overview.aspx?fID=176&amp;pw=5766\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">GROUPE GOLDMAN SACHS INC<\/a><\/td>\n<td>GS<\/td>\n<td>Commun<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\">8.17<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n[Tableau 8] Chou Associates Holdings <strong>T4 2017<\/strong>;<\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;border-color:#ccc;}\n.tg td{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#fff;}\n.tg th{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:normal;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#f0f0f0;}\n@media screen and (max-width: 767px) \n{.tg {width: auto !important;}\n.tg col {width: auto !important;}\n.tg-wrap {overflow-x: auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;}}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tg-wrap\">\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"372\"><strong>Nom<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"108\"><strong>T\u00e9l\u00e9scripteur<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"114\"><strong>Classe<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"96\"><strong>Port %<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"372\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rocketfinancial.com\/Overview.aspx?fID=11&amp;pw=321\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">COTY INC.<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"108\">COTY<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">Commun<\/td>\n<td width=\"96\">36.52<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"372\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rocketfinancial.com\/Overview.aspx?fID=263102&amp;pw=8682324\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Alphabet Inc.<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"108\">GOOG<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">Commun<\/td>\n<td width=\"96\">32.95<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"372\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rocketfinancial.com\/Overview.aspx?fID=12210&amp;pw=402888\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">HCA Holdings, Inc.<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"108\">HCA<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">Commun<\/td>\n<td width=\"96\">21.37<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"372\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rocketfinancial.com\/Overview.aspx?fID=307861&amp;pw=10159371\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Groupe FROST, Inc.<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"108\">GRSH<\/td>\n<td width=\"114\">Commun<\/td>\n<td width=\"96\">9.16<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>[Tableau 9] L\u00e9gendaire Michael Burry, Scion Asset Management T3 2016 *;<\/em><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Francis Chou, 4 paris soit: ~ 60%.<\/li>\n<li>Michael Burry, 4 paris totalisant: ~ 100%.<\/li>\n<li>Seth Klarman, 4 paris soit: ~ 40%<\/li>\n<li>Norbert Lou, 3 paris soit: 100%<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;border-color:#ccc;}\n.tg td{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#fff;}\n.tg th{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:normal;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#f0f0f0;}\n@media screen and (max-width: 767px) \n{.tg {width: auto !important;}\n.tg col {width: auto !important;}\n.tg-wrap {overflow-x: auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;}}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tg-wrap\">\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"209\"><strong>Stock<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>% de portefeuille<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Actions<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Activit\u00e9 r\u00e9cente<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Prix d\u00e9clar\u00e9 *<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"134\"><strong>Valeur<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"209\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=SYF\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">SYF - Synchrony Financial<\/a><\/td>\n<td>11.22<\/td>\n<td>29,295,030<\/td>\n<td>Aucun<\/td>\n<td>$38.61<\/td>\n<td width=\"134\">$1,131,081,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"209\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=LNG\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">GNL - Cheniere Energy Inc.<\/a><\/td>\n<td>11.07<\/td>\n<td>20,726,340<\/td>\n<td>Aucun<\/td>\n<td>$53.84<\/td>\n<td width=\"134\">$1,115,906,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"209\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=VSAT\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">VSAT - Viasat Inc.<\/a><\/td>\n<td>9.77<\/td>\n<td>13,158,137<\/td>\n<td>Aucun<\/td>\n<td>$74.85<\/td>\n<td width=\"134\">$984,887,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"209\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dataroma.com\/m\/stock.php?sym=FOXA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FOXA - Renard du XXIe si\u00e8cle<\/a><\/td>\n<td>7.63<\/td>\n<td>22,288,731<\/td>\n<td><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Ajouter 16.47%<\/span><\/td>\n<td>$34.53<\/td>\n<td width=\"134\">$769,630,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>[Tableau 10] Seth Klarman, Groupe Baupost <strong>T4 2017<\/strong>.<\/em><\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;border-color:#ccc;}\n.tg td{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#fff;}\n.tg th{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:normal;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#f0f0f0;}\n@media screen and (max-width: 767px) \n{.tg {width: auto !important;}\n.tg col {width: auto !important;}\n.tg-wrap {overflow-x: auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;}}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tg-wrap\">\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"366\"><strong>Nom<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"96\"><strong>T\u00e9l\u00e9scripteur<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"102\"><strong>Classe<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"156\"><strong>Port %<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"366\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rocketfinancial.com\/Overview.aspx?fID=11&amp;pw=321\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Berkshire<u> Hathaway Inc.<\/u><\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"96\">BRK.A<\/td>\n<td width=\"102\">Commun<\/td>\n<td width=\"156\">62.79<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"366\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rocketfinancial.com\/Overview.aspx?fID=263102&amp;pw=8682324\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Baidu.Inc<\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"96\">BIDU<\/td>\n<td width=\"102\">ADR<\/td>\n<td width=\"156\">21.94<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"366\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rocketfinancial.com\/Overview.aspx?fID=12210&amp;pw=402888\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">puits<u> Fargo &amp; Company.<\/u><\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"96\">WFC \/ WS<\/td>\n<td width=\"102\">Les mandats<\/td>\n<td width=\"156\">15.27<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>[Tableau 11] Norbert Lou, T4 2017.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Les trois ou quatre premi\u00e8res positions sont les vrais paris que vous prenez. Pour paraphraser W.Buffet: &quot;<strong><em>C&#039;est fou de mettre de l&#039;argent dans votre vingti\u00e8me choix plut\u00f4t que dans votre premier choix \u00bb<\/em><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Bien que la r\u00e8gle de Joel de 66% puisse sembler bonne, en r\u00e9alit\u00e9, le meilleur moyen de mesurer une taille ad\u00e9quate est le crit\u00e8re de J.Kelly pour l&#039;allocation de portefeuille - mais m\u00eame cela n&#039;est qu&#039;une approximation, car s&#039;en tenir \u00e0 la formule est un jeu non adaptatif dans un environnement de march\u00e9 adaptatif. , les vendeurs \u00e0 d\u00e9couvert enthousiastes se d\u00e9m\u00e8nent pour trouver de tels joueurs qui ne peuvent pas quitter leur maison sans formules. Il ne doit pas \u00eatre utilis\u00e9 comme un m\u00e9canisme \u00abpr\u00e9cis\u00bb, car les actions sont des animaux tr\u00e8s diff\u00e9rents des cartes ou des chevaux, mais la taille approximative des paris peut \u00eatre fournie par la formule de Kelly. La correction pr\u00e9cise doit \u00eatre organis\u00e9e de mani\u00e8re cumulative et combin\u00e9e pour refl\u00e9ter la somme de toutes les variables, telles que: <strong>1. Conviction 2. Marge de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 3. Bord informationnel 4. Bord analytique 5. Mod\u00e8le bien inform\u00e9. <\/strong><em>Pour plus d&#039;informations, voir Kelly Criterion for Stock picking.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Ensuite, passez bien aux styles de jeu et au type de jeu auquel vous devriez jouer. Gardez \u00e0 l&#039;esprit - Il existe une gamme d&#039;itin\u00e9raires pour obtenir d&#039;excellents r\u00e9sultats.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Style de jeu d\u00e9fensif:<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Bien que nous ayons d\u00e9j\u00e0 beaucoup discut\u00e9 du poker, les traits des joueurs et leurs caract\u00e9ristiques sont transf\u00e9rables au monde de l&#039;investissement. Donc, c&#039;est, avec le joueur lui-m\u00eame, les connaissances essentielles, le guide qu&#039;il doit suivre doit \u00eatre refl\u00e9t\u00e9 par les traits qu&#039;il affiche. Comme Ben Graham l&#039;exposerait encore une fois - <em>\u00abInvestir n&#039;est pas <strong>battre les autres \u00e0 leur jeu.<\/strong> Il s&#039;agit de se contr\u00f4ler \u00e0 son propre jeu. \u00bb <\/em>Si un investisseur poss\u00e8de une personnalit\u00e9 d\u00e9fensive, il devrait - acheter des actions qui correspondent parfaitement \u00e0 sa personnalit\u00e9. Non seulement cela, il devrait s&#039;engager dans le jeu passivement. Maintenir une faible rotation du portefeuille, d\u00e9tenir des actions pendant une longue p\u00e9riode. Jetez un \u0153il aux participations Lou de Norbert et au chiffre d&#039;affaires de M.Pabrai:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Norbert Lou, capitale des cartes perfor\u00e9es.<\/strong><\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;border-color:#ccc;}\n.tg td{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#fff;}\n.tg th{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:normal;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#f0f0f0;}\n@media screen and (max-width: 767px) \n{.tg {width: auto !important;}\n.tg col {width: auto !important;}\n.tg-wrap {overflow-x: auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;}}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tg-wrap\">\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"312\">Temps occup\u00e9 tous les postes:<\/td>\n<td width=\"312\">11,00 trimestres<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong><br \/>\nMohnish Pabrai, rue Dalal, investissements Pabrai.<\/strong><\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;border-color:#ccc;}\n.tg td{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#fff;}\n.tg th{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:normal;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#f0f0f0;}\n@media screen and (max-width: 767px) \n{.tg {width: auto !important;}\n.tg col {width: auto !important;}\n.tg-wrap {overflow-x: auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;}}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tg-wrap\">\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"312\">Temps occup\u00e9 tous les postes:<\/td>\n<td width=\"312\">8,40 trimestres<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong style=\"color: #444444; font-family: 'Roboto Slab', sans-serif; font-size: 1.75em;\">Style de jeu agressif:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>C&#039;est un jeu de manuels, sur ce que les \u00e9tudes empiriques soulignent r\u00e9ellement<sup>2<\/sup> - ce faible taux de rotation combin\u00e9 \u00e0 des positions concentr\u00e9es, positionne en fait le portefeuille pour une meilleure performance que les indices de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence dans leur ensemble.<br \/>\n<strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Le style de jeu agressif est unique en lui-m\u00eame, en ce sens qu&#039;il utilise des compromis entre les actions, joue une tendance et saute dans les positions. L&#039;utilisation efficace d&#039;une telle strat\u00e9gie n\u00e9cessite une adaptation efficace de l&#039;analyse technique et des ordres stop loss. Une r\u00e9duction efficace des positions permet au joueur de minimiser l&#039;exposition \u00e0 certaines positions pendant une p\u00e9riode plus longue. Michael Burry est un investisseur de valeur bien connu avec une rotation de portefeuille plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e. Son raisonnement? \u00c9viter les sc\u00e9narios de rupture de stock unique.<\/p>\n<p>Combiner les ordres Stop-Loss avec la hausse des cours boursiers, est un enfer de technique, qui n\u00e9cessite des ann\u00e9es de ma\u00eetrise. Bien que simple dans sa propre m\u00e9canique, son utilisation efficace n\u00e9cessite des ann\u00e9es de pratique. Nous allons vous donner un indice cette fois: <em><u>\u00e9viter de mettre des stop loss sur des nombres pairs<\/u><\/em>. (Trop d&#039;ordres sur le m\u00eame prix cible, ne d\u00e9clenchera pas votre commande, entra\u00eenant une d\u00e9pr\u00e9ciation du capital).<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_4031\" style=\"width: 1418px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-4-highway.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4031\" class=\"wp-image-4031 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-4-highway.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1408\" height=\"932\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-4-highway.jpg 1408w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-4-highway-300x199.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-4-highway-768x508.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-4-highway-1024x678.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-4-highway-945x626.jpg 945w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-4-highway-600x397.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1408px) 100vw, 1408px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-4031\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source de l&#039;image: Pixabay<\/p><\/div>\n<h2><\/h2>\n<h2><strong>Une nouvelle fa\u00e7on de penser les probabilit\u00e9s <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Beaucoup diront que le calcul des sc\u00e9narios de r\u00e9sultats en mati\u00e8re d&#039;investissement est une activit\u00e9 plut\u00f4t inutile. Non seulement cela, mais beaucoup de grands g\u00e9ants de l&#039;investissement - des op\u00e9rateurs de march\u00e9 prosp\u00e8res, indiqueraient que l&#039;art est un sujet plus descriptif que les math\u00e9matiques pour investir. Et en dehors de cela - nous devrions aborder le sujet non pas comme une question de pr\u00e9cision, mais comme une question de m\u00e9lange des deux (Art et Math). Bien que difficilement, voire li\u00e9e, la pr\u00e9misse d&#039;une telle approche est \u00e9galement - r\u00e9f\u00e9renc\u00e9e au poker. Les combinaisons de cartes donn\u00e9es pourraient en fait se rapporter \u00e0 une caract\u00e9ristique de stock donn\u00e9e. Regardons de cette fa\u00e7on:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Connecteurs adapt\u00e9s (combinaison de poker) - Une entreprise qui rach\u00e8te ses actions (ajoute une probabilit\u00e9 de succ\u00e8s de 2%).<\/li>\n<li>Paire - Une entreprise qui, historiquement, a vers\u00e9 une grande partie de ses flux de tr\u00e9sorerie sous forme de dividendes. (ajoute une probabilit\u00e9 de succ\u00e8s de 2%).<\/li>\n<li>Paire \u00e9lev\u00e9e - Une entreprise, sans dette et sans pertes d\u00e9clar\u00e9es sur une p\u00e9riode de 10 ans. (ajoute une probabilit\u00e9 de succ\u00e8s de 4%).<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Le but de ces cotes cumulatives n&#039;est pas en simple nombre, mais plut\u00f4t en actions. Les actions dans lesquelles l&#039;entreprise s&#039;engage, aboutissent \u00e0 des sc\u00e9narios de play-out de votre investissement, car le march\u00e9 ne refl\u00e8te que la valeur r\u00e9elle cr\u00e9\u00e9e par l&#039;entreprise sur de longues p\u00e9riodes. C&#039;est l\u00e0 que le &quot;<em>art&quot;<\/em> une partie contribue le plus, s\u00e9parant les actions qui aboutissent \u00e0 la cr\u00e9ation de valeur et \u00e0 la maximisation des bizarreries de celles qui ne le font pas, c&#039;est l\u00e0 que les comp\u00e9tences r\u00e9elles entrent en jeu. Il existe plusieurs fa\u00e7ons de penser aux probabilit\u00e9s, mais en fin de compte, investir est pas les math\u00e9matiques juste une simple approximation.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_4032\" style=\"width: 1096px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-5-glass-of-dice.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4032\" class=\"wp-image-4032 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-5-glass-of-dice.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1086\" height=\"1086\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-5-glass-of-dice.jpg 1086w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-5-glass-of-dice-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-5-glass-of-dice-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-5-glass-of-dice-768x768.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-5-glass-of-dice-1024x1024.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-5-glass-of-dice-945x945.jpg 945w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Picture-5-glass-of-dice-600x600.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1086px) 100vw, 1086px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-4032\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source de l&#039;image: Pixabay<\/p><\/div>\n<p><em>\u00abSi les guerres \u00e9taient de l&#039;arithm\u00e9tique, alors les math\u00e9maticiens gouverneraient le monde.\u00bb - Il en va de m\u00eame pour l&#039;investissement.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Cela vient sans pr\u00e9avis, qu&#039;une entreprise qui vend \u00e0 un faible multiple, mais dont la valeur intrins\u00e8que augmente, a une probabilit\u00e9 plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e de surperformer les r\u00e9sultats que celle dont la valeur stagne. L&#039;hypoth\u00e8se fournie devrait donner un raisonnement simple selon lequel l&#039;investisseur qui ach\u00e8te des actions dont la valeur intrins\u00e8que d\u00e9cline devrait augmenter l&#039;exigence de \u00abmarge de s\u00e9curit\u00e9\u00bb, ajouter \u00e0 cela les conditions du march\u00e9. Et il ne vous reste pas plus de 4 choix de qualit\u00e9 par an.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Le sommet de l&#039;iceberg <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>En r\u00e9alit\u00e9, alors que le march\u00e9 r\u00e8gne sur des gains \u00ab\u00e9ternels\u00bb - la plupart des positions deviennent \u00e9quitablement \u00e9valu\u00e9es, ne laissant qu&#039;un petit spectre d&#039;actions \u00e0 jouer. L&#039;univers des actions sous-\u00e9valu\u00e9es change de dynamique et commence \u00e0 se contracter. Les opportunit\u00e9s deviennent rares et denses. Le terrain devient plus difficile \u00e0 jouer. Les co\u00fbts d&#039;opportunit\u00e9 augmentent. Et les investisseurs cibl\u00e9s n&#039;ont que peu de choix. Construisez un coffre de guerre rempli de liquidit\u00e9s ou migrez des fonds entre des positions moins ch\u00e8res dans un portefeuille donn\u00e9, ce qui entra\u00eene des co\u00fbts de transfert encore et encore. Ce n&#039;est pas une t\u00e2che facile qui, \u00e0 l&#039;\u00e9poque, conduit \u00e0 une sous-performance continue.<\/p>\n<p>Lorsque les opportunit\u00e9s sont rares - les actions gagnantes en continu avec une sous-\u00e9valuation significative sont en quelque sorte \u00e0 l&#039;\u00e9preuve des balles, rapportant des gains de grosse queue encore et encore, c&#039;est pourquoi, souvent, d\u00e9tenir une action qui vient de monter en fl\u00e8che un 20-30% est favorable aux tables de portefeuille - concentration \u00e9lev\u00e9e pendant une longue p\u00e9riode grimpant les actions `` GOOG &#039;&#039;, BRK.A \/ B - soi-disant <em>&#039;Cannibales&#039;<\/em>), le march\u00e9 - a d\u00e9j\u00e0 chang\u00e9 d&#039;avis, et maintenant, la r\u00e9flexivit\u00e9 est dans l&#039;autre sens.<\/p>\n<p>Le choix entre rester tout le temps sur le march\u00e9 ou rester en dehors du march\u00e9, est encore une fois plus une approche personnelle, cependant, rester trop longtemps et avec une forte exposition \u00e0 un secteur sp\u00e9cifique sans r\u00e9serves de liquidit\u00e9s - est une sc\u00e8ne de catastrophe . Alors, assurez-vous que votre exposition massive \u00e0 un groupe industriel est prot\u00e9g\u00e9e par vos r\u00e9serves de liquidit\u00e9s en marge. C&#039;est ce que vous verriez des pros \/ v\u00e9t\u00e9rans chevronn\u00e9s tels que <strong><em>Howard Marks d&#039;Oaktree ou d\u00e9j\u00e0 mentionn\u00e9 Seth Klarman<\/em><\/strong>. L&#039;autre pi\u00e8ce? Diversifiez \u00e0 travers des conglom\u00e9rats diversifi\u00e9s, comme les actions de Berkshire, et restez \u00e0 100% sur le march\u00e9.<\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n.tg  {border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;border-color:#ccc;}\n.tg td{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#fff;}\n.tg th{font-family:Arial, sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:normal;padding:10px 5px;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;overflow:hidden;word-break:normal;border-color:#ccc;color:#333;background-color:#f0f0f0;}\n@media screen and (max-width: 767px) \n{.tg {width: auto !important;}\n.tg col {width: auto !important;}\n.tg-wrap {overflow-x: auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;}}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tg-wrap\">\n<table class=\"tg\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"336\"><strong>\u00c9valuation<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"306\"><strong>action<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"336\">Moins sous-\u00e9valu\u00e9<\/td>\n<td width=\"306\">Vendez une portion. (Migrer vers l&#039;ext\u00e9rieur)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"336\">Plus sous-\u00e9valu\u00e9<\/td>\n<td width=\"306\">Achetez une portion. (Migrer vers)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>[Tableau 12] Valorisation et migration de position.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Th\u00e8me principal et le\u00e7ons de cet article?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><em>\u00abArr\u00eatez tant que vous le pouvez encore.\u00bb<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00abJouez pour gagner gros, sinon ne jouez pas du tout.\u00bb<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00abLa position est ce qui vous rend riche.\u00bb <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Cet article a \u00e9t\u00e9 publi\u00e9 pour les lecteurs du blog CityFalcon. Il ne recommande aucun investissement, ni ne donne de conseils \u00e0 ce sujet. Gardez toujours \u00e0 l&#039;esprit que tout investissement que vous effectuez est associ\u00e9 \u00e0 des risques et, en tant que tel, pr\u00e9sente un danger extr\u00eame de perte en capital permanente et n\u00e9cessite de la prudence. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Un homme sage prend ses propres d\u00e9cisions et seul un imb\u00e9cile - suit l&#039;opinion publique.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Bonne chance pour ton voyage! <\/em><\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Audacieux. C&#039;est ainsi que la plupart des gens d\u00e9criraient l&#039;investissement ax\u00e9 sur la valeur. Se retrouver face \u00e0 face avec le train \u00e0 grande vitesse pourrait certainement \u00eatre passionnant et excitant, mais sur les march\u00e9s financiers modernes o\u00f9 tout est d\u00e9cid\u00e9 en un rien de temps\u2026 <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/fr\/investments\/the-complete-guide-to-concentrated-stocks-value-investing-play-to-win\/\">Continuer la lecture \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":4076,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[352,37,54,118],"class_list":["post-4027","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investments","tag-concentrated-portfolios","tag-investment-strategies","tag-stock-market","tag-value-investing"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Concentrated Portfolio Value Investment Guide - Play to Win | CityFALCON<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"How many stocks do you hold in your portfolio as a value investor? 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Here in this stock investment guide, we share some basic concepts and tips from reputed value investors.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/fr\/investments\/the-complete-guide-to-concentrated-stocks-value-investing-play-to-win\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CityFALCON Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/cityfalconfollow\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-03-13T12:54:18+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2018-03-16T10:18:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Depositphotos_154365078_l-2015.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"801\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Lukas Savickas\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cityfalcon\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cityfalcon\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Lukas Savickas\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"15 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":[\"Article\",\"BlogPosting\"],\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/fr\/investments\/the-complete-guide-to-concentrated-stocks-value-investing-play-to-win\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/fr\/investments\/the-complete-guide-to-concentrated-stocks-value-investing-play-to-win\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Lukas Savickas\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/9465945ae04df383b829057bf41c1ab0\"},\"headline\":\"The Complete Guide to Concentrated Portfolio Stocks Value Investing \u2013 Play to Win\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-03-13T12:54:18+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2018-03-16T10:18:58+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/fr\/investments\/the-complete-guide-to-concentrated-stocks-value-investing-play-to-win\/\"},\"wordCount\":2968,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/fr\/investments\/the-complete-guide-to-concentrated-stocks-value-investing-play-to-win\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Depositphotos_154365078_l-2015.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"concentrated portfolios\",\"investment strategies\",\"stock market\",\"value investing\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Investments\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/fr\/investments\/the-complete-guide-to-concentrated-stocks-value-investing-play-to-win\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/fr\/investments\/the-complete-guide-to-concentrated-stocks-value-investing-play-to-win\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/fr\/investments\/the-complete-guide-to-concentrated-stocks-value-investing-play-to-win\/\",\"name\":\"Concentrated Portfolio Value Investment Guide - Play to Win | CityFALCON\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/fr\/investments\/the-complete-guide-to-concentrated-stocks-value-investing-play-to-win\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/fr\/investments\/the-complete-guide-to-concentrated-stocks-value-investing-play-to-win\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Depositphotos_154365078_l-2015.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-03-13T12:54:18+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2018-03-16T10:18:58+00:00\",\"description\":\"How many stocks do you hold in your portfolio as a value investor? 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