{"id":902,"date":"2016-06-15T07:15:27","date_gmt":"2016-06-15T07:15:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cityfalcon.com\/blog\/?p=902"},"modified":"2017-10-05T11:36:26","modified_gmt":"2017-10-05T11:36:26","slug":"why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/fr\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/","title":{"rendered":"Pourquoi je reste longtemps GBP \/ EUR dans le r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum de l&#039;UE?"},"content":{"rendered":"<br \/>\n<style>\n.wp-caption {\nmax-width: 100% !important;\n}\n iframe {\nmax-width: 100%; hight: auto;\n}\n<\/style>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Avec le vote sur le Brexit dans quelques jours seulement, j&#039;ai couvert mes positions en actions. La seule grande position directionnelle que je pr\u00e9vois de tenir est la paire GBP \/ EUR, o\u00f9 j&#039;estime qu&#039;il y a un avantage \u00e0 tirer parti du fait que le Brexit se produise ou non. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Veuillez noter que je ne me soucie pas des techniques et que je me concentre simplement sur l&#039;histoire fondamentale ici. En outre, il existe d&#039;autres facteurs et donn\u00e9es \u00e9conomiques qui pourraient affecter cette paire de devises. Je suis pr\u00eat \u00e0 occuper mon poste pendant six mois \u00e0 un an si n\u00e9cessaire. Veuillez faire vos propres recherches avant d&#039;ex\u00e9cuter cette transaction.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>La paire GBP \/ EUR a baiss\u00e9 de 9% au cours des 6 derniers mois \u00e0 1,2555<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Il est tr\u00e8s difficile d&#039;attribuer la baisse \u00e0 un facteur, mais la plupart des acteurs du march\u00e9 estiment que les craintes du Brexit ont peut-\u00eatre jou\u00e9 un r\u00f4le dans le d\u00e9clin de la monnaie. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/GBP-EUR.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"max-width: 100%; height: auto;\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-903\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/GBP-EUR.png\" alt=\"GBP-EUR\" width=\"610\" height=\"271\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/GBP-EUR.png 610w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/GBP-EUR-300x133.png 300w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/GBP-EUR-600x267.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 610px) 100vw, 610px\" \/><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Sc\u00e9nario 1: le Brexit se produit<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dans le cas du Brexit, la GBP et l&#039;EUR pourraient chuter davantage par rapport \u00e0 l&#039;USD et dans une r\u00e9action instinctive, la GBP pourrait chuter de plus que l&#039;EUR, ce qui signifierait qu&#039;au d\u00e9part la GBP \/ EUR pourrait baisser. Je pense que dans ce sc\u00e9nario, l&#039;UE a plus \u00e0 perdre que le Royaume-Uni - un grand fr\u00e8re de moins pour aider les \u00e9conomies faibles de l&#039;UE et la pression d&#039;autres pays, en particulier la France, pour qu&#039;un r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum quitte l&#039;UE. Cela pourrait entra\u00eener un affaiblissement ou une rupture de l&#039;UE et, bien entendu, l&#039;EUR pourrait baisser consid\u00e9rablement. En raison de ces facteurs, j&#039;esp\u00e8re que la paire GBP \/ EUR s&#039;appr\u00e9ciera \u00e0 court et moyen terme apr\u00e8s la baisse initiale.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Sc\u00e9nario 2: Nous restons dans l&#039;UE<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Si nous restons dans l&#039;UE, il ne devrait pas y avoir beaucoup d&#039;impact sur la paire de devises, mais il se peut que la GBP ait un rebond de soulagement et r\u00e9cup\u00e8re une partie de la baisse qu&#039;elle a connue au cours des 6 derniers mois en raison des craintes du Brexit. Il y a donc un potentiel de hausse avec un risque de baisse limit\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>En r\u00e9sum\u00e9, ma th\u00e8se est que la paire GBP \/ EUR peut s&#039;appr\u00e9cier quel que soit le r\u00e9sultat du r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum europ\u00e9en. Au cas o\u00f9 cela ne s&#039;appr\u00e9cierait pas, l&#039;inconv\u00e9nient semble limit\u00e9. Cependant, acceptez une certaine volatilit\u00e9. \u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Si vous souhaitez suivre l&#039;actualit\u00e9 du Brexit, des paires de devises, etc., vous pouvez le faire sur <\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/watchlists?assets=EURGBP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><b>CityFALCON<\/b><\/a><b>.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Avec le vote sur le Brexit dans quelques jours seulement, j&#039;ai couvert mes positions en actions. La seule grande position directionnelle que je compte occuper\u2026<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/\">Continuer la lecture \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":904,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[140],"class_list":["post-902","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investments","tag-brexit"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Why I\u2019m Staying Long GBP\/EUR Into The EU Referendum?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"With the Brexit vote only a few days away, I\u2019ve been hedging my equity positions. 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The only big directional position I\u2019m planning to hold is GBP\/EUR...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CityFALCON Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/cityfalconfollow\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-06-15T07:15:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2017-10-05T11:36:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/AdobeStock_85295875_1200.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"675\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Ruzbeh Bacha\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cityfalcon\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cityfalcon\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Ruzbeh Bacha\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":[\"Article\",\"BlogPosting\"],\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Ruzbeh Bacha\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/adaf6e70ee43cd981606acd8ec46cecd\"},\"headline\":\"Why I\u2019m Staying Long GBP\/EUR Into The EU Referendum?\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-06-15T07:15:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2017-10-05T11:36:26+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/\"},\"wordCount\":386,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/AdobeStock_85295875_1200.jpeg\",\"keywords\":[\"Brexit\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Investments\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/\",\"name\":\"Why I\u2019m Staying Long GBP\/EUR Into The EU Referendum?\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/AdobeStock_85295875_1200.jpeg\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-06-15T07:15:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2017-10-05T11:36:26+00:00\",\"description\":\"With the Brexit vote only a few days away, I\u2019ve been hedging my equity positions. 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