{"id":26281,"date":"2020-04-15T13:30:04","date_gmt":"2020-04-15T13:30:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cityfalcon.com\/blog\/?p=26281"},"modified":"2020-04-15T13:30:55","modified_gmt":"2020-04-15T13:30:55","slug":"what-is-the-vix-and-how-can-you-leverage-it-for-stock-market-trading-and-investing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/it\/investments\/what-is-the-vix-and-how-can-you-leverage-it-for-stock-market-trading-and-investing\/","title":{"rendered":"Cos'\u00e8 il VIX e come puoi sfruttarlo per il trading e gli investimenti in borsa?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Se hai prestato attenzione ai mercati durante questi periodi turbolenti, \u00e8 probabile che tu abbia incontrato riferimenti al VIX, altrimenti noto come Volatility Index, o al suo soprannome piuttosto minaccioso, "indice della paura". Dato l'impatto devastante della pandemia di COVID-19 sui mercati globali, "paura" sembra certamente una parola adatta da raggiungere quando si tenta qualsiasi tipo di previsione di mercato in questo momento. Che, si d\u00e0 il caso, \u00e8 esattamente ci\u00f2 per cui il VIX \u00e8 progettato.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ideato dal Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), il Volatility Index fornisce una misura del rischio di mercato e del sentimento degli investitori proiettando in avanti e prevedendo la volatilit\u00e0 futura attesa. Il VIX non fornisce una misura del mercato <\/span>passato<\/span><\/i> volatilit\u00e0, prevede la sua <\/span>futuro <\/span><\/i>volatilit\u00e0. A questo proposito \u00e8 fondamentalmente diverso dalla volatilit\u00e0 storica, che misura la deviazione standard annualizzata come percentuale del prezzo delle azioni.<\/span><\/p>\n

Come misura della volatilit\u00e0 implicita (o attesa) e un barometro continuamente aggiornato del sentimento degli investitori, il VIX \u00e8 una risorsa utile per investitori e analisti che cercano di valutare il rischio e misurare lo stress del mercato.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Come funziona VIX?\u00a0<\/b><\/h2>\n

Prima di esaminare come il VIX calcola la volatilit\u00e0, dovremmo prima considerare cosa intendiamo realmente per <\/span>volatilit\u00e0 rispetto al mercato azionario<\/span><\/a>. In generale, la volatilit\u00e0 si riferisce all'entit\u00e0 e al tasso delle oscillazioni dei prezzi. In altre parole, \u00e8 una misura della velocit\u00e0 con cui cambiano i prezzi. Grandi oscillazioni in entrambe le direzioni sono associate a un mercato volatile.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

L'elevata volatilit\u00e0 descrive drammatiche fluttuazioni dei prezzi in brevi periodi di tempo ed \u00e8 spesso collegata all'imprevedibilit\u00e0 e quindi a un rischio maggiore. Un mercato calmo tende a tradursi in una predominanza di acquisti di opzioni call, mentre un mercato volatile di solito va di pari passo con una corsa all'acquisto di put.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Il VIX si basa sulle opzioni dell'indice S&P 500, ampiamente considerato un buon indicatore del pi\u00f9 ampio mercato azionario statunitense. Utilizza opzioni SPX standard e settimanali per calcolare la volatilit\u00e0 attesa calcolando la media dei prezzi ponderati di put e call out-of-the-money. La matematica alla base di questo calcolo \u00e8 troppo complicata per essere trattata in dettaglio qui, ma puoi leggere la formula VIX in CBOE <\/span>carta bianca<\/span><\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

La lettura del VIX \u00e8 piuttosto semplice: i numeri rappresentano l'intervallo percentuale previsto di movimento dell'S&P 500 nell'anno successivo a un livello di confidenza 68% (una deviazione standard della normale curva di probabilit\u00e0). Quindi, se il VIX \u00e8 a 30, ci\u00f2 equivale a un'aspettativa (con probabilit\u00e0 di 68%) di non pi\u00f9 di 30% di variazione nel corso del prossimo anno, in aumento o in calo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Questo pu\u00f2 essere convertito in una cifra mensile dividendo la lettura per la radice quadrata di 12 (3,46). Quindi, estendendo l'esempio precedente, una lettura VIX di 30 suggerirebbe un intervallo mensile di 8,7% (30 diviso 3,46).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Il VIX dovrebbe riflettere la paura (o il compiacimento) degli investitori come misura della volatilit\u00e0 implicita. Di conseguenza, tende a seguire negativamente l'indice S&P 500, salendo quando l'S&P scende e scendendo quando \u00e8 in rialzo.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

In che modo VIX pu\u00f2 essere utilizzato dagli investitori?<\/b><\/h2>\n

Come indicatore del sentiment del mercato, il VIX pu\u00f2 aiutare gli investitori ad anticipare le tendenze e ideare strategie di copertura. Agisce efficacemente come una misura della domanda e dell'offerta, aumentando quando la domanda di put aumenta, una tendenza che tende a riflettere l'ansia nel mercato.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Paradossalmente, comprare quando il VIX \u00e8 alto e vendere quando \u00e8 basso \u00e8 una strategia consolidata. In effetti, gli investitori pi\u00f9 esperti avranno familiarit\u00e0 con il mantra \u201cquando il VIX \u00e8 alto, \u00e8 il momento di comprare; quando il VIX \u00e8 basso, \u00e8 ora di andare.\u201d La teoria alla base di questa strategia \u00e8 che l'ansia del mercato sar\u00e0 probabilmente massima quando i prezzi sono al minimo, appena prima di una correzione.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Seguendo questa logica, il VIX pu\u00f2 essere utilizzato come indicatore contrarian: alti livelli - che indicano paura nel mercato - possono essere interpretati come un segnale positivo che il mercato \u00e8 sul punto di riprendersi. Allo stesso modo, letture VIX basse indicano che il mercato \u00e8 compiacente e potrebbe essere sul punto di scendere.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Inutile dire che il VIX non \u00e8 un modo sicuro per prevedere le tendenze del mercato, ma offre sicuramente una visione utile del sentimento del mercato e pu\u00f2 essere uno strumento utile se utilizzato insieme ad altri indicatori di mercato.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Posso scambiare il VIX?<\/b><\/h2>\n

Oltre a usarlo come strumento per informare la tua strategia di investimento, puoi anche scambiare titoli che seguono il valore del VIX. Sebbene il trading sul VIX stesso non possa essere effettuato direttamente, \u00e8 possibile investire indirettamente nel VIX tramite futures, opzioni o ETF sul VIX (Exchange Traded Funds).<\/span><\/p>\n

Gli ETF VIX investono in contratti futures VIX e offrono un modo abbastanza popolare per speculare o proteggersi dai movimenti futuri del mercato. L'unico problema \u00e8 che gli ETF VIX hanno uno scarso record di correlazione con il VIX stesso e molti commentatori li considerano scarsi investimenti a lungo termine. Tuttavia, possono essere utili come mezzo per proteggersi dalla volatilit\u00e0 del mercato a breve termine. Poich\u00e9 si prevede che il VIX aumenti quando il mercato crolla, puoi aspettarti che un ETF VIX salga quando il mercato scende, rendendolo un modo efficace per proteggere il tuo portafoglio, almeno in teoria.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Potresti imparare molto su come scambiare VIX seguendo notizie, tweet e analisi pertinenti e in tempo reale <\/span>qui<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Se hai prestato attenzione ai mercati durante questi periodi turbolenti, \u00e8 probabile che tu abbia incontrato riferimenti al VIX, altrimenti noto come Volatility Index, o al suo soprannome piuttosto minaccioso, "indice della paura". Dato l'impatto devastante di... Continua a leggere \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":26284,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[30,54,18,415],"class_list":["post-26281","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investments","tag-investing","tag-stock-market","tag-trading","tag-vix"],"yoast_head":"\nWhat is the VIX and how can you leverage it for stock market trading and investing? - CityFALCON Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The famous volatility indicator or "fear index" extracts market outlook from market action. 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