{"id":2997,"date":"2017-07-04T17:49:51","date_gmt":"2017-07-04T17:49:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/?p=2997"},"modified":"2017-12-19T14:22:02","modified_gmt":"2017-12-19T14:22:02","slug":"chinas-manufacturing-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/it\/market-news-analysis\/chinas-manufacturing-data\/","title":{"rendered":"I dati sulla produzione cinese: questa ripresa \u00e8 sostenibile?"},"content":{"rendered":"

I dati ottimistici sulla produzione manifatturiera della Cina per giugno, pubblicati questa settimana, indicano un'economia in espansione e condizioni economiche in miglioramento nel secondo trimestre. Ma come leggere questi dati alla luce delle prospettive di crescita della Cina?<\/p>\n

Miglioramento delle prospettive a breve termine<\/b><\/p>\n

I timori di un atterraggio duro stanno diminuendo poich\u00e9 le politiche interventiste del governo hanno sostenuto i mercati azionari e la valuta cinese. I timori di una forte svalutazione della valuta si sono attenuati. L'inclusione del mercato cinese delle azioni A insieme ai programmi di collegamento azionario\/obbligazionario del governo e l'allentamento delle restrizioni sul capitale straniero hanno rafforzato la fiducia globale nei mercati cinesi.<\/p>\n

Le prospettive di crescita a lungo termine sembrano fosche in assenza di riforme strutturali<\/b><\/p>\n

Anche se ci si aspetta che questi provvedimenti del governo riducano la volatilit\u00e0 valutaria\/del mercato, non eliminano i rischi reali per l'economia: l'aumento dei livelli del debito e l'allocazione grossolana delle risorse. Con un debito a ~280% del PIL, il paese rimane esposto alla possibilit\u00e0 di una profonda crisi finanziaria. E con il suo tasso di espansione della crescita del credito che supera la sua crescita del PIL, il paese rimane vulnerabile alla cattiva allocazione delle risorse. L'inutile espansione del credito per fingere la crescita soddisfer\u00e0 gli obiettivi di crescita a breve termine, ma porter\u00e0 a un forte calo della produttivit\u00e0 e alla fine alla crescita a lungo termine. Il paese ha bisogno di introdurre massicce riforme e spostare le risorse verso le aree produttive per essere in grado di sostenere la crescita a lungo termine - tuttavia, ci\u00f2 comporterebbe fallimenti, perdite di posti di lavoro, fallimenti bancari, ecc. che non sarebbero politicamente popolari.<\/p>\n

Nonostante i dati ottimistici, le prospettive di crescita a lungo termine della Cina appaiono fosche senza riforme strutturali.<\/p>\n

Maggiori informazioni sulla valuta e sui mercati della Cina qui<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I dati ottimistici sulla produzione manifatturiera della Cina per giugno, pubblicati questa settimana, indicano un'economia in espansione e condizioni economiche in miglioramento nel secondo trimestre. Ma come leggere questi dati alla luce delle prospettive di crescita della Cina? Prospettive a breve termine in miglioramento Preoccupazioni per... Continua a leggere \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3001,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[210],"tags":[164],"class_list":["post-2997","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-news-analysis","tag-stock-market-news"],"yoast_head":"\nChina's manufacturing data - is this recovery sustainable? - CityFALCON Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"China's manufacturing data for June, published this week, points to improving economic conditions in Q2. 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