{"id":902,"date":"2016-06-15T07:15:27","date_gmt":"2016-06-15T07:15:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cityfalcon.com\/blog\/?p=902"},"modified":"2017-10-05T11:36:26","modified_gmt":"2017-10-05T11:36:26","slug":"why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/it\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/","title":{"rendered":"Perch\u00e9 rimango lungo GBP\/EUR nel referendum dell&#039;UE?"},"content":{"rendered":"<br \/>\n<style>\n.wp-caption {\nmax-width: 100% !important;\n}\n iframe {\nmax-width: 100%; hight: auto;\n}\n<\/style>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Con il voto sulla Brexit a pochi giorni di distanza, ho coperto le mie posizioni azionarie. L&#039;unica grande posizione direzionale che ho intenzione di tenere \u00e8 GBP\/EUR, dove sento che c&#039;\u00e8 un rialzo da trarre vantaggio dal fatto che la Brexit accada o meno. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Si prega di notare che non mi interessano gli aspetti tecnici e mi sto concentrando solo sulla storia fondamentale qui. Inoltre, ci sono altri fattori e dati economici che potrebbero influenzare questa coppia di valute. Sono pronto a mantenere la mia posizione da sei mesi a un anno, se necessario. Si prega di fare le proprie ricerche prima di eseguire questo scambio.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>GBP\/EUR \u00e8 sceso di 9% negli ultimi 6 mesi a 1,2555<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00c8 molto difficile attribuire il declino a qualsiasi fattore, ma la maggior parte dei partecipanti al mercato ritiene che i timori della Brexit possano aver avuto un ruolo nel declino della valuta. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/GBP-EUR.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"max-width: 100%; height: auto;\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-903\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.cityfalcon.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/GBP-EUR.png\" alt=\"GBP-EUR\" width=\"610\" height=\"271\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/GBP-EUR.png 610w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/GBP-EUR-300x133.png 300w, https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/GBP-EUR-600x267.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 610px) 100vw, 610px\" \/><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Scenario 1: si verifica la Brexit<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In caso di Brexit, sia la sterlina che l&#039;euro potrebbero scendere ulteriormente rispetto all&#039;USD e, in una reazione istintiva, la sterlina potrebbe scendere pi\u00f9 dell&#039;euro, il che significa che inizialmente la coppia sterlina potrebbe scendere. Credo che in questo scenario l&#039;UE abbia pi\u00f9 da perdere rispetto al Regno Unito: un fratello maggiore in meno per aiutare le economie deboli dell&#039;UE e pressioni da parte di altri paesi, in particolare la Francia, affinch\u00e9 il referendum lasci l&#039;UE. Ci\u00f2 potrebbe comportare l&#039;indebolimento o il crollo dell&#039;UE e, naturalmente, l&#039;EUR potrebbe diminuire in modo significativo. A causa di questi fattori, spero che la coppia GBP\/EUR si apprezzi nel breve e medio termine dopo il calo iniziale.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Scenario 2: Rimaniamo nell&#039;UE<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Se rimaniamo nell&#039;UE, non dovrebbe esserci un grande impatto sulla coppia di valute, ma potrebbe essere che la sterlina abbia un rally di sollievo e recuperi parte del calo che ha avuto negli ultimi 6 mesi a causa dei timori sulla Brexit. Quindi c&#039;\u00e8 un potenziale di rialzo con un rischio di ribasso limitato.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>In sintesi, la mia tesi \u00e8 che la coppia GBP\/EUR possa apprezzarsi indipendentemente dall&#039;esito del referendum UE. Nel caso in cui non apprezzi, il ribasso sembra limitato. Tuttavia, abbraccia te stesso per un po &#039;di volatilit\u00e0. \u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Se vuoi tenere d&#039;occhio le ultime notizie su Brexit, coppie di valute, ecc., puoi farlo su <\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/watchlists?assets=EURGBP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><b>CityFALCON<\/b><\/a><b>.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Con il voto sulla Brexit a pochi giorni di distanza, ho coperto le mie posizioni azionarie. L&#039;unica grande posizione direzionale che intendo ricoprire...<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/\">Continua a leggere \u2192<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":904,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[140],"class_list":["post-902","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investments","tag-brexit"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Why I\u2019m Staying Long GBP\/EUR Into The EU Referendum?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"With the Brexit vote only a few days away, I\u2019ve been hedging my equity positions. 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The only big directional position I\u2019m planning to hold is GBP\/EUR...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CityFALCON Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/cityfalconfollow\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-06-15T07:15:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2017-10-05T11:36:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/AdobeStock_85295875_1200.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"675\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Ruzbeh Bacha\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cityfalcon\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cityfalcon\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Scritto da\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Ruzbeh Bacha\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tempo di lettura stimato\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minuti\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":[\"Article\",\"BlogPosting\"],\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Ruzbeh Bacha\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/adaf6e70ee43cd981606acd8ec46cecd\"},\"headline\":\"Why I\u2019m Staying Long GBP\/EUR Into The EU Referendum?\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-06-15T07:15:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2017-10-05T11:36:26+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/\"},\"wordCount\":386,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/AdobeStock_85295875_1200.jpeg\",\"keywords\":[\"Brexit\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Investments\"],\"inLanguage\":\"it-IT\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/\",\"name\":\"Why I\u2019m Staying Long GBP\/EUR Into The EU Referendum?\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.com\/blog\/investments\/why-im-staying-long-gbpeur-into-the-eu-referendum\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.cityfalcon.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/AdobeStock_85295875_1200.jpeg\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-06-15T07:15:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2017-10-05T11:36:26+00:00\",\"description\":\"With the Brexit vote only a few days away, I\u2019ve been hedging my equity positions. 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